Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Insurance - Diversified
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Profile & Business Summary
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company's Insurance segment offers primary and excess casualty coverages; loss sensitive primary casualty insurance programs; collateral protection, debt cancellation, and service contract reimbursement products; directors' and officers' liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices and fiduciary liability, crime, professional indemnity, and other financial related coverages; medical professional and general liability insurance coverages; and workers' compensation and umbrella liability, as well as commercial automobile and inland marine products. It also provides property, energy, marine, and aviation insurance; travel insurance; accident, disability, and medical plan insurance coverages; captive insurance programs; employer's liability; and contract and commercial surety coverages. This segment markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. Its Reinsurance segment provides casualty reinsurance for third party liability and workers' compensation exposures; marine and aviation; surety, accident and health, workers' compensation catastrophe, agriculture, trade credit, and political risk products; reinsurance protection for catastrophic losses, and personal lines and commercial property exposures; life reinsurance; casualty clash; and risk management solutions. This segment markets its reinsurance products through brokers. The company's Mortgage segment offers direct mortgage insurance and mortgage reinsurance. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Key Information
| Ticker | ACGL |
|---|---|
| Leadership | Nicolas Alain Emmanuel Papadopoulo |
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.archgroup.com |
Market Trend Overview for ACGL
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
This model looks at how prices behave over time to describe the current market environment. It focuses on whether price is moving steadily, stalling, or losing momentum, and checks both short-term and weekly trends for confirmation. The goal is not to predict exact prices, but to help understand when conditions are supportive, risky, or unclear.
Current Market Context (Short-Term)
As of 2026-02-06 (ET), ACGL is moving sideways. Price at 100.95 is above support near 95.74. If price moves higher, it may meet resistance around 103.78. View Support & Resistance from Options
Why the market looks this way?
Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)
As of 2026-02-06, ACGL is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
ACGL last closed at 100.95. The price is about 0.6 ATR above its recent average price (99.84), and the market is currently in an early upward move.
Short-term strength is developing against a weaker long-term trend, which increases the risk of downside reversals.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside level is near 89.87. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-02-05, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-02-04] Moderate participation supported a steady price advance.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
As of 2026-02-05, price has extended significantly above its primary volume area, entering a liquidity-thin zone. While the uptrend remains intact, the risk of chasing strength has increased.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for ACGL
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)
Structure Analysis
ACGL Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.9 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.
Bull Trap Structural Risk
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias, appearing strong on the surface but structurally more fragile. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.