Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Staffing & Employment Services
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) Profile & Business Summary
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). The Employer Services segment offers strategic, cloud-based platforms, and human resources (HR) outsourcing solutions. Its offerings include payroll, benefits administration, talent management, HR management, workforce management, insurance, retirement, and compliance services, as well as integrated HCM solutions. The PEO Services segment provides HR outsourcing solutions to small and mid-sized businesses through a co-employment model. This segment offers benefits package, protection and compliance, talent engagement, expertise, comprehensive outsourcing, and recruitment process outsourcing services. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey.
Key Information
| Ticker | ADP |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.adp.com |
Market Trend Overview for ADP
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, ADP is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
ADP last closed at 246.44. The price is about 1.3 ATR above its recent average price (238.60), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 246.44 is moving between minor support near 235.19 and minor resistance near 248.42. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 211.87. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-01, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-08] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 56.9% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 56.9%, with predictability at 54% and signal agreement at 79%. Reversal risk is 13%, while reward/risk stands at 0.20. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 5.2% above the recent estimated cost basis of 234.35, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (238.57 to 243.05), and about 84% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The lower down support area sits around 240.32 to 243.05. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The higher up selling area sits around 250.07 to 251.44. There is also a nearby thin-trading zone below between 243.64 and 244.42, so downside can speed up if support fails and price drops into that area. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 240.32 to 243.05, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.