Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Application
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Profile & Business Summary
Autodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; AutoCAD, a software for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections tools for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment collection industries. It also provides Inventor tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; Vault, a data management software to manage data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration; Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; and ShotGrid, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry. It sells its products and services to customers directly, as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | ADSK |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.autodesk.com |
Market Trend Overview for ADSK
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-06-25 (ET)
As of 2026-06-25, ADSK is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
ADSK last closed at 189.73. The price is about 0.5 ATR below its recent average price (194.08), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 189.73 is near minor support around 185.50. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 203.29. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.
Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-06-10, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.
Up probability is only 39.4%, with predictability at 44% and agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 19%. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 6.8% below the recent estimated cost basis of 203.67, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (189.01 to 195.03), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The broader structure still looks stretched on the weak side, so recovery attempts may need more proof before improving the tone. The lower down support area sits around 186.55 to 187.65. The higher up selling area sits around 196.67 to 199.68, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. About 85% of recent positioning remains under water, which usually makes rallies harder to sustain. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the structure is still best read by comparing price with the main cost band first, then watching whether the lower support zone or higher supply zone becomes the next directional checkpoint.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for ADSK
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is well above normal levels, increasing the risk of forced covering and sudden price moves. (Historical percentile: 80%)
Structure Analysis
ADSK Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.3 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -19.9%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-05-29 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.