Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Application
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Profile & Business Summary
Autodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; AutoCAD, a software for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections tools for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment collection industries. It also provides Inventor tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; Vault, a data management software to manage data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration; Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; and ShotGrid, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry. It sells its products and services to customers directly, as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | ADSK |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.autodesk.com |
Market Trend Overview for ADSK
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)
As of 2026-08-10, ADSK is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
ADSK last closed at 256.07. The price is about 2.2 ATR above its recent average price (236.52), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 256.07 is holding above minor support near 240.00. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 270.09. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term strength is developing against a weaker long-term trend, which increases the risk of downside reversals.
Trend score: 70 out of 100. Overall alignment is moderate. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Some trend alignment is present, but the structure is still forming.
Price is stretched well above its recent average (about 2.2 ATR). Upside extension is elevated, and chasing strength here carries a higher pullback risk.
A key downside risk boundary is near 202.11. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-02, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal in open space between key levels. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent price movement appears increasingly driven by low-effort advances. Such hollow progression often reflects reduced participation and lower reliability of continuation.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 63.9% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 63.9%, with predictability at 61% and signal agreement at 100%. Reversal risk is 32%, while reward/risk stands at 0.30. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 256.07, 9.94% above the estimated average cost of 232.91. An estimated 96.7% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 2.7% is above it. The peak-density price is 235.40. The largest concentrated cost region is 233.50 to 241.10 and contains 41.9% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 255.90 to 256.70 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 247.50 to 249.50.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for ADSK
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 0%)
Structure Analysis
ADSK Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 4.5 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 18/100, DTC percentile 100%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 19.5%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -31%). Positioning is historically elevated, although price and liquidity conditions do not yet confirm structural fragility. Short positioning is at extreme historical levels.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.