Aflac Incorporated (AFL) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Insurance - Life
Aflac Incorporated (AFL) Profile & Business Summary
Aflac Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, provides supplemental health and life insurance products. It operates through two segments, Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. The Aflac Japan segment offers cancer, medical, nursing care income support, GIFT, and whole and term life insurance products, as well as WAYS and child endowment plans under saving type insurance products in Japan. The Aflac U.S. segment provides cancer, accident, short-term disability, critical illness, hospital indemnity, dental, vision, long-term care and disability, and term and whole life insurance products in the United States. It sells its products through sales associates, brokers, independent corporate agencies, individual agencies, and affiliated corporate agencies. The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Columbus, Georgia.
Key Information
| Ticker | AFL |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.aflac.com |
Market Trend Overview for AFL
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, AFL is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
AFL last closed at 122.05. The price is about 1.7 ATR above its recent average price (118.68), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 122.05 is moving between minor support near 117.16 and minor resistance near 122.80. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 113.26. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-10, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-02] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Heavy selling into the close suggests exposure was being reduced ahead of the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 59.1% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 59.1%, with predictability at 49% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 16%, while reward/risk stands at 0.18. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is modestly above the recent estimated cost basis of 120.20, so the recent structure is still on the firmer side. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (119.91 to 122.63), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. The lower down support area sits around 120.41 to 120.53. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The higher up selling area sits around 122.94 to 123.62. There is also a nearby thin-trading zone above between 122.69 and 122.81, so moves can travel faster if price enters that area. About 78% of recent positioning is in profit, so the recent structure is still supported by holders who are not under immediate pressure. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 120.41 to 120.53, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.