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Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) Corporate Logo

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Healthcare • Industry: Medical - Devices

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) Profile & Business Summary

Align Technology, Inc., a medical device company, designs, manufactures, and markets Invisalign clear aligners and iTero intraoral scanners and services for orthodontists and general practitioner dentists, and restorative and aesthetic dentistry. It operates in two segments, Clear Aligner; and Scanners and Services. The Clear Aligner segment consists of comprehensive products, including Invisalign comprehensive treatment that addresses the orthodontic needs of teenage patients, such as mandibular advancement, compliance indicators, and compensation for tooth eruption; and Invisalign First Phase I and Invisalign First Comprehensive Phase 2 package for younger patients generally between the ages of seven and ten years, which is a mixture of primary/baby and permanent teeth. This segment's non-comprehensive products comprise Invisalign moderate, lite and express packages, and Invisalign go; and non-case products include retention products, Invisalign training fees, and sales of ancillary products, such as cleaning material, and adjusting tools used by dental professionals during the course of treatment. The Scanners and Services segment offers iTero scanner, a single hardware platform with software options for restorative or orthodontic procedures; restorative software for general practitioner dentists, prosthodontists, periodontists, and oral surgeons; and software for orthodontists for digital records storage, orthodontic diagnosis, and for the fabrication of printed models and retainers. This segment also provides computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing services; ancillary products, such as disposable sleeves for the wand; iTero model and dies; third party scanners and digital scans; Invisalign outcome simulator, a chair-side and cloud-based application for the iTero scanner; Invisalign progress assessment tool; and TimeLapse technology, which allows doctors or practitioners to compare a patient's historic 3D scans to the present-day scan. The company sells its products in the United States, Switzerland, China, and internationally. Align Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

Key Information

Ticker ALGN
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.aligntech.com
CIK Number 0001097149
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for ALGN

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)

As of 2026-08-10, ALGN is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

ALGN last closed at 176.04. The price is about 0.5 ATR above its recent average price (172.02), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 176.04 is moving between light support near 172.16 and moderate resistance near 176.46. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 159.26. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-07-24, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near resistance (0.06 ATR away). Reversal risk is higher. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price movement appears increasingly driven by low-effort advances. Such hollow progression often reflects reduced participation and lower reliability of continuation.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-11 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 63.2% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 63.2%, with predictability at 62% and signal agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 13%, while reward/risk stands at 0.31. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 176.04, 2.08% above the estimated average cost of 172.45. An estimated 85.7% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 14.1% is above it. The peak-density price is 169.20. The largest concentrated cost region is 171.27 to 174.12 and contains 30.5% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 174.38 to 175.68. The nearest region above the current price is 179.42 to 179.57.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for ALGN

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.70

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 6.84%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -25.24%
20-Day Return -3.23%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 25%)

Structure Analysis

ALGN Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 5.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Early signs of positioning pressure are emerging (Fragility Score 44/100, DTC percentile 92%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -25%).

Risk Summary

Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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