Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Information Technology Services
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Profile & Business Summary
Applied Digital Corporation designs, develops, and operates digital infrastructure solutions and cloud services high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence industries in North America. It operates through three segments: Data Center Hosting Business, Cloud Services Business, and HPC Hosting Business. The company offers infrastructure services to crypto mining customers; and GPU computing solutions for critical workloads related to AI, machine learning, and other HPC tasks. It also engages in the designing, constructing, and managing of data centers to support HPC applications. The company was formerly known as Applied Blockchain, Inc. and changed its name to Applied Digital Corporation in November 2022. Applied Digital Corporation is based in Dallas, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | APLD |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://applieddigital.com |
Market Trend Overview for APLD
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-13 (ET)
As of 2026-10-13, APLD is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
APLD last closed at 22.44. The price is about 0.8 ATR below its recent average price (25.44), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 22.44 is near minor support around 20.04. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 26.85. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-08-18, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-09-09] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model does not deploy the setup because the current position looks stretched and more vulnerable to pullback or digestion.
The model does not deploy this setup because extension risk is 87%, pullback risk is 76%, entry geometry is unfavorable at the current location, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory. Predictability is 38%, agreement is 96%, and reversal risk is 43%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 58 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-13. The current price is 22.44, 10.15% below the estimated average cost of 24.98. An estimated 7.7% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 91.6% is above it. The peak-density price is 23.45. The largest concentrated cost region is 22.83 to 25.52 and contains 59.5% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 22.33 to 22.52 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 21.83 to 22.07. The nearest region above the current price is 22.83 to 25.52.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for APLD
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 48%)
Structure Analysis
APLD Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.4 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 0/100, DTC percentile 68%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-09-30 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.