Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Information Technology Services
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Profile & Business Summary
Applied Digital Corporation designs, develops, and operates digital infrastructure solutions and cloud services high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence industries in North America. It operates through three segments: Data Center Hosting Business, Cloud Services Business, and HPC Hosting Business. The company offers infrastructure services to crypto mining customers; and GPU computing solutions for critical workloads related to AI, machine learning, and other HPC tasks. It also engages in the designing, constructing, and managing of data centers to support HPC applications. The company was formerly known as Applied Blockchain, Inc. and changed its name to Applied Digital Corporation in November 2022. Applied Digital Corporation is based in Dallas, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | APLD |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://applieddigital.com |
Market Trend Overview for APLD
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, APLD is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
APLD last closed at 28.37. The price is about 0.1 ATR below its recent average price (28.57), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 28.37 is moving between light support near 27.62 and minor resistance near 28.95. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside level is near 24.06. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.
On 2026-02-18, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-03-18] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 43%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 34%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 4.4% above the recent estimated cost basis of 27.18, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (26.82 to 27.87), and about 89% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. There is also a nearby thin-trading zone above between 29.05 and 29.49, so moves can travel faster if price enters that area. From a trading point of view, the structure still looks constructive, but with so much recent positioning already in profit, the main thing to watch is whether momentum stays orderly.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for APLD
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 8%)
Structure Analysis
APLD Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 4.6 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind more slowly than usual. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Structural fragility is building (Fragility Score 76/100, DTC percentile 87%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return -2.4%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -40%). The structure warrants attention for potential instability.
Risk Summary
Risk conditions are elevated. Recent price strength may be less stable if selling pressure increases.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias; surface strength may mask a more fragile structure. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded short positioning and weakening liquidity are reinforcing each other. High-level consolidation and compression suggest a fragile upside structure. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 3× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.