ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: CBOE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) Profile & Business Summary
The fund is an actively-managed exchange-traded fund ("ETF") that will invest under normal circumstances primarily (at least 65% of its assets) in domestic and foreign equity securities of companies that are relevant to the fund's investment theme of disruptive innovation. Its investments in foreign equity securities will be in both developed and emerging markets. It may invest in foreign securities (including investments in American Depositary Receipts ("ADRs") and Global Depositary Receipts ("GDRs")) and securities listed on local foreign exchanges. The fund is non-diversified.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for ARKK
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)
As of 2026-08-10, ARKK is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
ARKK last closed at 80.44. The price is about 1.9 ATR above its recent average price (75.78), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 80.44 is holding above minor support near 78.55. If price continues higher, it may face light resistance around 80.69. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-07, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near resistance (0.10 ATR away). Reversal risk is higher. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 67.2% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 67.2%, with predictability at 62% and signal agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 32%, while reward/risk stands at 0.31. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 80.44, 1.82% above the estimated average cost of 79.00. An estimated 88.7% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 7.2% is above it. The peak-density price is 80.10. The largest concentrated cost region is 79.77 to 80.58 and contains 44.9% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 79.77 to 80.58 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 79.38 to 79.53.