ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: CBOE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) Profile & Business Summary
The fund is an actively-managed exchange-traded fund ("ETF") that will invest under normal circumstances primarily (at least 65% of its assets) in domestic and foreign equity securities of companies that are relevant to the fund's investment theme of disruptive innovation. Its investments in foreign equity securities will be in both developed and emerging markets. It may invest in foreign securities (including investments in American Depositary Receipts ("ADRs") and Global Depositary Receipts ("GDRs")) and securities listed on local foreign exchanges. The fund is non-diversified.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for ARKK
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-11-06 (ET)
As of 2026-11-06, ARKK is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
ARKK last closed at 75.46. The price is about 2.8 ATR below its recent average price (82.64), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 75.46 is near minor support around 73.84. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 77.94. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
Price is stretched well below its recent average (about 2.8 ATR). Downside extension is elevated, and chasing weakness here carries a higher rebound risk.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-10-14, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-10-28] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because predictability is still too low, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk, and the setup already looks stretched. Predictability is 27%, agreement is 88%, and reversal risk is 36%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 48 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-09-01 to 2026-11-06. The current price is 75.46, 0.43% above the estimated average cost of 75.13. An estimated 70.5% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 27.9% is above it. The peak-density price is 75.15. The largest concentrated cost region is 75.07 to 75.23 and contains 27.4% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 75.07 to 75.23. The nearest region above the current price is 75.52 to 75.68.