Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Information Technology Services
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Profile & Business Summary
Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate passenger vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and trucks. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Key Information
| Ticker | AUR |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://aurora.tech |
Market Trend Overview for AUR
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-20 (ET)
As of 2026-07-20, AUR is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
AUR last closed at 6.09. The price is about 1.2 ATR below its recent average price (6.40), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 6.09 is moving between light support near 5.91 and minor resistance near 6.48. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 5.35. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-30, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-13] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because predictability is still too low, internal signals are not aligned strongly enough, and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 23%, agreement is 9%, and reversal risk is 23%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 3.7% below the recent estimated cost basis of 6.32, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. The main cost band sits between 5.98 and 6.19. The higher up selling area sits around 6.24 to 6.43, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. Roughly 67% of recent positioning remains under water, so rebound attempts can still run into supply from trapped holders. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the main question is whether rebounds remain healthy enough to reach and absorb the higher overhead supply zone.