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Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Corporate Logo

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Information Technology Services

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Profile & Business Summary

Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate passenger vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and trucks. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Key Information

Ticker AUR
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://aurora.tech
CIK Number 0001828108
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for AUR

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)

As of 2026-03-25, AUR is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

AUR last closed at 4.32. The price is about 0.1 ATR below its recent average price (4.35), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 4.32 is moving between light support near 4.20 and light resistance near 4.36. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-03-05, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)
AUR is not currently in a trend-dominant environment, so the trend prediction model is not activated for this run.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is still very close to the recent estimated cost basis at 4.33, so the market remains near its recent average holding area. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (4.22 to 4.39), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. The lower down support area sits around 4.07 to 4.08. Recent positioning looks fairly balanced, with 53% in profit and 47% under water. From a trading point of view, the main question is whether pullbacks remain controlled before price falls back into the lower support zone.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for AUR

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.67

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 13.06%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -2.11%
20-Day Return -11.48%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 45%)

Structure Analysis

AUR Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 9.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -11.5%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules