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AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) Corporate Logo

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Real Estate • Industry: REIT - Residential

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) Profile & Business Summary

As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities containing 86,025 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 18 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. The Company is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion markets consisting of Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado (the Expansion Markets).

Key Information

Ticker AVB
Leadership Benjamin W. Schall
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.avalonbay.com
CIK Number 0000915912
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for AVB

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), AVB is moving sideways. Price at 173.83 is moving between support near 172.07 and resistance near 179.15. There is no clear direction right now. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, AVB is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

AVB last closed at 173.83. The price is about 1.3 ATR below its recent average price (178.81), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility.

Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-01-07, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-02-03] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for AVB

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.75

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 4.05%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 0.00%
20-Day Return -5.57%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

AVB Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 5.4 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short interest remains relatively low, limiting forced selling pressure. Current price strength appears broadly supported. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules