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American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) Corporate Logo

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Utilities • Industry: Regulated Water

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) Profile & Business Summary

American Water Works Company, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides water and wastewater services in the United States. It offers water and wastewater services to approximately 1,700 communities in 14 states serving approximately 3.4 million active customers. The company serves residential customers; commercial customers, including food and beverage providers, commercial property developers and proprietors, and energy suppliers; fire service and private fire customers; industrial customers, such as large-scale manufacturers, mining, and production operations; public authorities comprising government buildings and other public sector facilities, such as schools and universities; and other utilities and community water and wastewater systems. It also provides water and wastewater services on various military installations; and undertakes contracts with municipal customers, primarily to operate and manage water and wastewater facilities, as well as offers other related services. In addition, the company operates approximately 80 surface water treatment plants; 480 groundwater treatment plants; 160 wastewater treatment plants; 52,500 miles of transmission, distribution, and collection mains and pipes; 1,100 groundwater wells; 1,700 water and wastewater pumping stations; 1,300 treated water storage facilities; and 76 dams. It serves approximately 14 million people with drinking water, wastewater, and other related services in 24 states. American Water Works Company, Inc. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.

Key Information

Ticker AWK
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.amwater.com
CIK Number 0001410636
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for AWK

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)

As of 2026-08-17, AWK is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

AWK last closed at 134.35. The price is about 0.2 ATR above its recent average price (133.75), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 134.35 is moving between light support near 131.90 and light resistance near 136.24. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 125.16. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-17, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-07] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-18 (ET)
Mild bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a bullish edge, with 59.1% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 59.1%, with predictability at 46% and signal agreement at 81%. Reversal risk is 24%. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 134.35, 0.76% below the estimated average cost of 135.38. An estimated 26.8% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 72.0% is above it. The peak-density price is 135.35. The largest concentrated cost region is 133.77 to 137.07 and contains 62.5% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 133.77 to 137.07 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 131.07 to 131.12. The nearest region above the current price is 137.72 to 138.07.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for AWK

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.79

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 6.09%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 16.07%
20-Day Return 0.52%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is well above normal levels, increasing the risk of forced covering and sudden price moves. (Historical percentile: 78%)

Structure Analysis

AWK Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.8 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 19/100, DTC percentile 36%) with short positioning continuing to expand.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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