BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Technology • Industry: Information Technology Services
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Profile & Business Summary
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence and machine learning for decision support. The company operates through two segments, Cyber & Engineering and Analytics. The Cyber & Engineering segment offers high-end technology and management consulting services. It focuses in the areas of cloud engineering and enterprise IT, cybersecurity, computer network operations and wireless, systems engineering, and strategy and program planning. The Analytics segment provides high-end technology and consulting services. This segment focuses on the areas of big data computing and analytical solutions, including predictive and prescriptive analytics solutions. Its solutions assist customers in aggregating, interpreting, and synthesizing data to enable real-time decision-making capabilities. The company is headquartered in Columbia, Maryland.
Key Information
| Ticker | BBAI |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://bigbear.ai |
Market Trend Overview for BBAI
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, BBAI is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
BBAI last closed at 3.05. The price is about 0.1 ATR below its recent average price (3.08), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 3.05 is moving between minor support near 2.59 and minor resistance near 3.19. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-07, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-14] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not issue an actionable directional forecast. Predictability is 57%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 16%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 3.05, 1.22% below the estimated average cost of 3.09. An estimated 27.8% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 71.0% is above it. The peak-density price is 3.08. The largest concentrated cost region is 3.03 to 3.27 and contains 72.0% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 3.03 to 3.27 cost region.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for BBAI
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 22%)
Structure Analysis
BBAI Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 5.7 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind more slowly than usual. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Structural fragility is elevated (Fragility Score 84/100, DTC percentile 90%) while price maintains a mild upward bias (20D return 9.3%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -38%). The configuration implies elevated downside elasticity if momentum shifts.
Risk Summary
Risk conditions are high. If prices begin to weaken, downside reactions could become more sensitive than usual.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Phase: Building. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded short positioning and weakening liquidity are reinforcing each other. Crowded positioning is being reinforced by continued short build-up. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 4× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.