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Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) Corporate Logo

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Healthcare • Industry: Medical - Care Facilities

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) Profile & Business Summary

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. owns, manages, and operates senior living communities in the United States. It operates in three segments: Independent Living, Assisted Living and Memory Care, and Continuing Care Retirement Communities (CCRCs). The Independent Living segment owns or leases communities comprising independent and assisted living units in a single community that are primarily designed for middle to upper income seniors. The Assisted Living and Memory Care segment owns or leases communities consisting of freestanding multi-story communities and freestanding single-story communities, which offer housing and 24-hour assistance with activities of daily living for the Company's residents. This segment also operates memory care communities for residents with Alzheimer's and other dementias. The CCRCs segment owns or leases communities that provides various living arrangements, such as independent and assisted living, memory care, and skilled nursing; and services to accommodate various levels of physical ability and healthcare needs. It also manages communities on behalf of others. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned 347 communities, leased 299 communities, and managed 33 communities on behalf of others. Brookdale Senior Living Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.

Key Information

Ticker BKD
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.brookdale.com
CIK Number 0001332349
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for BKD

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)

As of 2026-10-01, BKD is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

BKD last closed at 10.84. The price is about 0.2 ATR below its recent average price (10.95), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 10.84 is near minor support around 10.29. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 11.39. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-10, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-10-01] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.Bearish signal in open space between key levels.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-10-02 (ET)
Bearish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.


Why the model says this

Up probability is only 42.1%, with predictability at 49% and agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 14%, while reward/risk stands at -0.19. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 10.84, 12.61% below the estimated average cost of 12.40. An estimated 3.8% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 95.0% is above it. The peak-density price is 12.20. The largest concentrated cost region is 11.65 to 12.31 and contains 42.1% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 10.79 to 11.03 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 10.65 to 10.69. The nearest region above the current price is 11.07 to 11.15.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for BKD

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.74

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 20.92%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -10.05%
20-Day Return -9.06%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 42%)

Structure Analysis

BKD Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 10.2 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -9.1%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Phase: Building. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded positioning is being reinforced by continued short build-up. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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