CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Basic Materials • Industry: Agricultural Inputs
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Profile & Business Summary
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products; and compound fertilizer products with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. It primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.
Key Information
| Ticker | CF |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.cfindustries.com |
Market Trend Overview for CF
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, CF is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
CF last closed at 119.19. The price is about 0.4 ATR above its recent average price (116.29), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 119.19 is holding above minor support near 116.39. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 124.77. View Support & Resistance from Options
The trend is still positive, but signs of slowing momentum suggest growing two-sided risk.
Trend score: 80 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 104.36. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-06, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-14] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near support (0.69 ATR away). Buyers may defend this level. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
As of 2026-07-13, price has extended significantly above its primary volume area, entering a liquidity-thin zone. While the uptrend remains intact, the risk of chasing strength has increased.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 67.3% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 67.3%, with predictability at 60% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 12%, while reward/risk stands at 0.38. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 6.5% above the recent estimated cost basis of 111.87, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (112.35 to 117.68), and about 86% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The lower down support area sits around 113.23 to 117.48. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The higher up selling area sits around 120.44 to 120.74. There is also a nearby thin-trading zone below between 117.88 and 118.96, so downside can speed up if support fails and price drops into that area. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 113.23 to 117.48, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.