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CME Group Inc. (CME) Corporate Logo

CME Group Inc. (CME) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges

CME Group Inc. (CME) Profile & Business Summary

CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, as well as fixed income products. The company also provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges; and trade processing and risk mitigation services. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. CME Group Inc. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Key Information

Ticker CME
Leadership Terrence A. Duffy
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.cmegroup.com
CIK Number 0001156375
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for CME

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), CME is moving strongly higher. Price at 302.27 is above support near 293.63. If price moves higher, it may meet resistance around 310.91. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Prices have been moving higher consistently over recent sessions. The weekly trend supports this upward move. This is a strong upward environment where pullbacks are more likely to find support.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, CME is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

CME last closed at 302.27. The price is about 1.1 ATR above its recent average price (296.77), and the market is currently in a strong upward move.

Short-term and long-term trends are aligned, and momentum remains healthy, supporting further upside.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 268.29. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-01-30, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-01-20] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Price Stretch Risk

As of 2026-02-03, price has extended significantly above its primary volume area, entering a liquidity-thin zone. While the uptrend remains intact, the risk of chasing strength has increased.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for CME

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.75

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 1.17%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 0.00%
20-Day Return 13.36%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

CME Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.0 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short interest remains relatively low, limiting forced selling pressure. Current price strength appears broadly supported. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules