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COIN Options Chain — Open Interest, Implied Volatility, Max Pain & Gamma Exposure

Analyze the complete COIN options chain including strike-level open interest, real-time implied volatility (IV), max pain levels, gamma exposure, dealer positioning, and options flow trends. This dashboard provides data-driven insights for traders building directional or hedging strategies around COIN.

Latest Data: 2025-12-23 (EDT)
Max Pain Price
267.5
Exp: 2025-12-26
Gamma Flip
247.34
Gamma Flip (≈60 days)
Put/Call OI Ratio
1.156
Shows put vs call positioning
IV Skew
-6.94
Put–call IV difference
Max Pain Price Volatility
σ = 35.40
high volatility

Dealer–Gamma Regime

A combined view of COIN’s total gamma exposure (GEX) and Dealer Position Index (DPI). This helps identify whether dealer hedging flows support mean reversion or trend continuation in the current options market.

Overall Market Regime
Mean Reversion Zone
Long Gamma · Strong Net Short Options · Low Volatility
Low Volatility Mean Reversion Bias DPI Trend: bearish

Gamma Exposure
Total GEX
106.29M
Gamma Regime
Long Gamma
Flip Threshold: 247

In a long gamma regime, dealers hedge against price moves, strengthening mean reversion and suppressing volatility.

Dealer Position Index (DPI)
Current DPI
-0.333
Dealer Positioning
Strong Net Short Options
Trend Label: bearish

A Strong Net Short Options profile indicates how dealers hedge daily flows, influencing whether trends extend or revert.


Market Behavior (Gamma Flip–Based)

Price moves may extend once a direction forms.

The short-term gamma flip is near 247.11 , with intermediate positioning around 247.34 . The mid-term gamma flip remains near 247.45.


Combined Interpretation

With Long Gamma and a bearish DPI trend , the current setup favors Mean Reversion Zone .

Dealer hedging flows interact with gamma positioning to form short-term volatility regimes. Stronger directional movement is more likely when gamma is short or unstable.

Volatility Environment
Low Volatility
Trend vs Mean Reversion
Mean Reversion Bias
Dealer Hedging Behavior
Strong Net Short Options

Options-Based Market Outlook & Short-Term Sentiment for COIN • As of 2025-12-23
Neutral Outlook (Confidence: 85%)

The options structure reflects a high-confidence neutral environment. Dealer positioning and volatility suppression suggest a stable range-bound setup rather than a directional move. A strong confidence score reflects high directional consensus—or, in the case of neutral bias, a stable volatility regime.


Put-Side Positioning Insight
Looking only at the put-side activity, there is a bearish directional push. This suggests some traders are actively betting on downside. Confidence: 67%


Key Price Levels: Support, Resistance & Pivot for COIN
The support levels for COIN are at 238.04, 232.93, and 199.12, while the resistance levels are at 246.56, 251.67, and 285.48. The pivot point, a key reference price for traders, is at 267.50.

Important intraday and swing-trading price levels derived from max pain, open interest distribution, and gamma positioning. These price levels are derived from Max Pain analysis, gamma exposure trends, and open interest dynamics, which are crucial factors for assessing market sentiment and potential price movements. Traders can use the support and resistance levels to identify key price zones for entry or exit points, while the pivot point serves as an important reference for gauging trend direction.


Option-Implied Price Range (DTE: 3)
Based on the latest options positioning (DTE 3), the ATM straddle implies a standardized 1.88% 1-day move.
The expected range for the next 3 days is 238.01 251.24 , corresponding to +3.69% / -1.77% .

Bullish flow suggests upside interest toward 255.32 (5.37% above spot).

Bearish positioning points to downside pressure toward 236.72 (2.30% below spot).

Options flow strength: 0.94 (0–1 scale).

ATM Strike: 242.50, Call: 2.93, Put: 4.97, Straddle Cost: 7.90.

Estimated using ATM implied volatility, OTM option flow, and dealer hedging conditions to capture the market-implied price range.

📘 Show Options Market Insight

1. Core Volatility Signal (1.88% Standardized 1-Day Move)

“The ATM straddle implies a standardized 1-day move of 1.88%.”

This means:

  • Short-term implied volatility is elevated.
  • The market is pricing increased uncertainty.
  • Traders may expect near-term catalysts or instability.

📌 Plain interpretation: Volatility is picking up — uncertainty is increasing.

2. Expected Price Range (Next 3 Days)

The options market is pricing the following risk range:
238.01 – 251.24

Upper: +3.69%  •  Lower: -1.77%

🔺 Bullish Skew — upside potential outweighs downside risk.

3. Bullish Flow vs Bearish Flow

▶ Bullish Flow

Upside interest clusters near 255.32 (5.37% above spot).
This region may act as short-term resistance.

▶ Bearish Flow

Downside pressure clusters near 236.72 (2.30% below spot).
This is a downside “magnet zone” where put demand concentrates.

4. Flow Strength: 0.94

Flow strength is extremely high — option activity is concentrated and meaningful. This indicates that today's option flows represent strong, non-random positioning (likely institutional).

5. ATM Straddle Cost

The ATM straddle costs 7.90 (3.26% of spot).

The premium indicates high expected volatility. The market anticipates significant movement.

🔥 Professional Summary

1️⃣ The options market leans toward upside potential.
2️⃣ Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting increased uncertainty.
3️⃣ Call activity dominates — traders position for upside moves.
4️⃣ FlowStrength 0.94 reflects concentrated, high-confidence positioning.

⭐ One-sentence takeaway: The options market reflects a mild bullish tilt for COIN.

The insights are generated by an AI-driven options analysis model. We strongly recommend interpreting the data in the context of your own judgment and market understanding.

DPI Trend Index

Dealer Position Index (DPI) tracks how options dealers are positioned. Rising DPI → dealers long options (mean reversion). Falling DPI → dealers short options (trend amplification).
DPI does not predict direction. It only answers one question: once price moves, will the market reinforce that move? DPI reflects the direction and strength of dealer gamma exposure — not a bullish or bearish call.

Latest Trend Interpretation:

✅ Strong confirmed bearish, trend and momentum are aligned

Gamma Exposure & Expiry Risk Zones

Gamma Exposure (GEX) defines how option dealer hedging interacts with price moves. Large expiries can sharply alter hedging pressure and trigger volatility shifts.

Market GEX vs Price History

Aggregate gamma exposure plotted with underlying price. Sharp GEX declines or flip-zone tests often precede increased volatility.

GEX Danger Zone Overview
Symbol: COIN • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total GEX: 106.29M (Regime: Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility), Flip = 81.83M)
Max Danger Expiry: 2025-12-26 (DTE=3)
Expiry GEX: 39.52M (Contribution=37.2%)
Post-Expiry GEX: 66.77M (Regime: Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability))
⚠ This expiry is CRITICAL: removal may push GEX into Flip Zone or weaken gamma support sharply.
Expiry DTE GEX Contrib % Post-Expiry GEX Post Regime Tag
2025-12-26 3 39.52M 37.2% 66.77M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2026-01-16 24 27.06M 25.5% 79.23M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2026-01-02 10 9.77M 9.2% 96.51M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-03-20 87 7.16M 6.7% 99.13M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-02-20 59 5.98M 5.6% 100.31M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-06-18 177 3.63M 3.4% 102.66M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-04-17 115 2.78M 2.6% 103.5M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-09 17 2.09M 2.0% 104.2M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-05-15 143 1.86M 1.8% 104.43M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-09-18 269 1.65M 1.5% 104.64M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2027-01-15 388 1.44M 1.4% 104.85M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-12-18 360 1.01M 1.0% 105.28M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-23 31 969.69K 0.9% 105.32M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-30 38 816.99K 0.8% 105.47M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2027-12-17 724 245.72K 0.2% 106.04M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2028-01-21 759 181.18K 0.2% 106.11M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-08-21 241 83.87K 0.1% 106.2M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2028-06-16 906 48.18K 0.0% 106.24M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)

Vanna Exposure & Risk Zone

Vanna measures how delta changes when implied volatility shifts. Heavy negative Vanna clusters can amplify volatility during IV shocks.

Current Vanna Exposure Overview
Symbol: COIN • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna
23.87M
Net delta–vol sensitivity
Vanna Regime
Positive Vanna (Volatility Dampening)
Sensitivity to IV shocks
Max Danger Expiry
2025-12-26 (DTE 3)
Contribution: 52.4%
Large negative Vanna clusters increase hedging pressure during volatility spikes, amplifying directional trends.
Vanna Danger Zone Details
Symbol: COIN • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna: 23.87M ( Positive Vanna )
Max Danger Expiry: 2025-12-26 (DTE=3)
Expiry Vanna: 12.52M (Contribution=52.4%)
Post-Expiry Vanna: 11.35M (More Positive — Volatility Dampening)
⚠ This expiry is CRITICAL: removal can sharply increase net negative Vanna, raising volatility sensitivity.
Expiry DTE Vanna Contrib % Post-Expiry Post Regime Tag
2025-12-26 3 12.52M 52.4% 11.35M More Positive (Stabilizing) Critical
2026-01-16 24 6.68M 28.0% 17.19M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-02-20 59 1.39M 5.8% 22.48M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-02 10 884.04K 3.7% 22.99M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-03-20 87 881.64K 3.7% 22.99M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-05-15 143 848.77K 3.6% 23.02M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-09 17 523.03K 2.2% 23.35M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-04-17 115 -420.45K 1.8% 24.29M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-23 31 172.75K 0.7% 23.7M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-06-18 177 168.61K 0.7% 23.7M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-12-18 360 140.63K 0.6% 23.73M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2027-01-15 388 119.96K 0.5% 23.75M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-30 38 93.46K 0.4% 23.78M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2027-12-17 724 -48.75K 0.2% 23.92M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2028-06-16 906 -32.99K 0.1% 23.9M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2028-01-21 759 -19.55K 0.1% 23.89M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-09-18 269 -16.89K 0.1% 23.89M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-08-21 241 -13.88K 0.1% 23.89M More Positive (Stabilizing)

Volatility Structure & Term Structure

Short-dated and medium-term implied volatility, term structure shape, downside skew, and realized volatility context.

ATM IV Term Structure Snapshot
Symbol: COIN • As of 2025-12-23
30D ATM IV
49.26%
Front-end implied volatility
90D ATM IV
55.05%
Medium-term volatility anchor
IV Ratio (90D / 30D)
1.12
Long-term vs short-term IV
Term Structure Regime
Contango (Long-term Elevated)
Slope: 5.79 pts (30D→90D).

Smile Slope (Put25 – Call25)
3.00%
Downside skew / crash premium
HV 21D vs IV
HV 21D: 49.34%
IV – HV: -0.07%
IV is broadly in line with realized volatility.
IV Percentile / Rank
Percentile: 0.0%
Rank: 0.0%
Relative to 1-year history.
IV Z-Score
-1.90
Deviation vs recent average

ATM IV Term Structure

30D · 90D

IV vs Realized Volatility

HV 21D vs 30D IV
A contango structure shows longer-term volatility is priced higher. Smile slope reflects downside protection demand, while IV percentile and rank show how current IV compares to its own history.

COIN Max Pain — Daily Levels, Trend, Volatility Pressure & Options Positioning

Daily Max Pain levels with trend shifts, volatility pressure and options positioning cycles.

Max Pain Price Trend Index

Latest Trend Interpretation

Max Pain is stable, reflecting neutral options positioning.

➖ Trend strength: Very weak — no meaningful direction.

➖ Recent movement: Largely unchanged.

Trend Shifts

Green = Bullish • Dark Green = Strong Bullish • Gray = Neutral • Red = Bearish • Dark Red = Strong Bearish

Current OI Structure Reliability

OI Concentration / Pain Reliability · Dec 23 2025
Reliability: 45.3 (moderate)
Max Pain @ 267.50 | Concentration=0.18 · Symmetry=0.60 · Sharpness=2.00
Reason
Some OI clustering exists but lacks clear dominance.
Advice
Treat Max Pain as secondary — combine with gamma, DPI, or trend.

Max Pain Price Mean Reversion

Latest Mean Reversion Status
Dec 23 2025
Neutral (Z = -0.71)
Price is near Max Pain, showing balanced options pressure.
Price vs Max Pain Distance
Show Mean Reversion History
Date Price Max Pain Distance Z-Score Signal
2025-12-23 242.30 267.50 -25.20 -0.71 neutral
2025-12-22 247.90 267.50 -19.60 -0.55 neutral
2025-12-19 245.12 370.00 -124.88 -3.53 oversold
2025-12-18 239.20 340.00 -100.80 -2.85 oversold
2025-12-16 252.61 330.00 -77.39 -2.19 oversold
2025-12-15 250.42 330.00 -79.58 -2.25 oversold
2025-12-12 267.46 290.00 -22.54 -0.64 neutral
2025-12-11 269.02 290.00 -20.98 -0.59 neutral
2025-12-10 275.09 290.00 -14.91 -0.42 neutral
2025-12-09 277.36 290.00 -12.64 -0.36 neutral
2025-12-08 274.20 290.00 -15.80 -0.45 neutral
2025-12-05 269.73 287.50 -17.77 -0.50 neutral
2025-12-04 274.05 290.00 -15.95 -0.45 neutral
2025-12-03 276.92 287.50 -10.58 -0.30 neutral
2025-12-02 263.26 287.50 -24.24 -0.68 neutral
2025-12-01 259.84 300.00 -40.16 -1.13 oversold
2025-11-28 272.82 280.00 -7.18 -0.20 neutral
2025-11-26 264.97 277.50 -12.53 -0.35 neutral
2025-11-25 254.12 277.50 -23.38 -0.66 neutral
2025-11-24 255.97 277.50 -21.53 -0.61 neutral
2025-11-21 240.41 365.00 -124.59 -3.52 oversold
2025-11-20 238.16 325.00 -86.84 -2.45 oversold
2025-11-19 257.29 325.00 -67.71 -1.91 oversold
2025-11-18 261.79 322.50 -60.71 -1.71 oversold
2025-11-17 263.95 332.50 -68.55 -1.94 oversold
2025-11-14 284.00 327.50 -43.50 -1.23 oversold
2025-11-13 283.14 330.00 -46.86 -1.32 oversold
2025-11-12 304.00 330.00 -26.00 -0.73 neutral
2025-11-11 304.01 332.50 -28.49 -0.80 neutral
2025-11-07 309.14 362.50 -53.36 -1.51 oversold
2025-11-06 295.22 357.50 -62.28 -1.76 oversold
2025-11-05 319.30 360.00 -40.70 -1.15 oversold
2025-11-04 307.32 377.50 -70.18 -1.98 oversold
2025-11-03 330.42 377.50 -47.08 -1.33 oversold
2025-10-31 343.78 367.50 -23.72 -0.67 neutral
2025-10-30 328.51 367.50 -38.99 -1.10 oversold
2025-10-29 348.61 367.50 -18.89 -0.53 neutral
2025-10-28 355.22 367.50 -12.28 -0.35 neutral

Mean Reversion Backtest

Backtest Summary
Total Signals: 18 (Long: 18 · Short: 0)
1-Day Performance
Avg Return: -0.65%
Win Rate: 55.6%
3-Day Performance
Avg Return: -2.50%
Win Rate: 35.3%
Show Last 10 Trades
Date Signal Side Entry 1D Ret 3D Ret
2025-12-19 oversold long 245.12 1.13% 0.00%
2025-12-18 oversold long 239.20 2.47% 1.30%
2025-12-16 oversold long 252.61 -5.31% -1.86%
2025-12-15 oversold long 250.42 0.87% -2.12%
2025-12-01 oversold long 259.84 1.32% 5.47%
2025-11-21 oversold long 240.41 6.47% 10.22%
2025-11-20 oversold long 238.16 0.94% 6.70%
2025-11-19 oversold long 257.29 -7.44% -0.51%
2025-11-18 oversold long 261.79 -1.72% -8.17%
2025-11-17 oversold long 263.95 -0.82% -9.77%

Historical Max Pain Effectiveness

Based on historical behavior (not current OI)
No Historical Effectiveness
Little to no historical alignment between price action and Max Pain.
Win Rate
1D: 61.1%
3D: 33.3%
Reversion Strength
0.04
Noise Score
0.64
Score (Win)
17.8 / 40
Score (Strength)
1.7 / 40
Score (Noise)
12.7 / 20
Historical Effectiveness Score: 32.2 (poor)
Disclaimer

Our analysis incorporates options market microstructure, institutional flow patterns, gamma and vanna dynamics, and dealer hedging models. The analytics and insights provided on this page are generated from a multi-factor options microstructure model, supported by WhaleQuant’s AI forecasting framework. These results reflect structural dynamics such as dealer positioning, hedging flows, volatility regimes, open interest concentration, and term structure behavior.

The outputs shown—including bias assessments and confidence scores—represent directional tendencies based on option market structure and should not be interpreted as price predictions, probability forecasts, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and all analyses are provided for informational purposes only.