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Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) Corporate Logo

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Communication Equipment

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) Profile & Business Summary

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd provides various high-speed connectivity solutions for optical and electrical Ethernet applications in the United States, Mexico, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. Its products include integrated circuits, active electrical cables, and SerDes chiplets that are based on its serializer/deserializer and digital signal processor technologies. The company also offers intellectual property solutions consist of SerDes IP licensing. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Key Information

Ticker CRDO
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://credosemi.com
CIK Number 0001807794
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for CRDO

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)

As of 2026-08-17, CRDO is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

CRDO last closed at 282.82. The price is about 2.8 ATR above its recent average price (247.94), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 282.82 is holding above minor support near 233.17. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 308.67. View Support & Resistance from Options

The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.

Pullback Risk

Price is stretched well above its recent average (about 2.8 ATR). Upside extension is elevated, and chasing strength here carries a higher pullback risk.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 182.05. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-07, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-18 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 69.7% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 69.7%, with predictability at 66% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 33%, while reward/risk stands at 0.42. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 282.82, 22.62% above the estimated average cost of 230.65. An estimated 97.0% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 2.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 213.00. The largest concentrated cost region is 229.25 to 249.25 and contains 26.5% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 280.75 to 284.75 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 275.25 to 278.75.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for CRDO

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.53

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 3.63%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -17.47%
20-Day Return 33.36%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 11%)

Structure Analysis

CRDO Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 1.0 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 13/100, DTC percentile 36%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 33.4%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity softening modestly (volume -17%).

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules