CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Infrastructure
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Profile & Business Summary
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-delivered protection across endpoints and cloud workloads, identity, and data. It offers threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. The company primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules through its direct sales team that leverages its network of channel partners. It serves customers worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | CRWD |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.crowdstrike.com |
Market Trend Overview for CRWD
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-06-25 (ET)
As of 2026-06-25, CRWD is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
CRWD last closed at 678.65. The price is about 1.3 ATR below its recent average price (703.53), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 678.65 is near light support around 660.92. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 712.18. View Support & Resistance from Options
The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 565.62. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-06-12, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.
Up probability is only 41.8%, with predictability at 43% and agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 15%, while reward/risk stands at -0.19. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is modestly below the recent estimated cost basis of 688.81, so the recent structure is still leaning somewhat under pressure. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (676.01 to 685.00), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The broader structure looks relatively compressed, so nearby cost clusters may matter more than usual. Roughly 66% of recent positioning remains under water, so rebound attempts can still run into supply from trapped holders. Recent trading is fairly concentrated, so the nearby heavy zones may matter more than usual. From a trading point of view, the most useful read is to compare price with the main cost band first, because there is no especially clear nearby support or overhead cluster right now.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for CRWD
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 40%)
Structure Analysis
CRWD Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.2 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 6/100, DTC percentile 60%) and liquidity softening modestly (volume -11%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-05-29 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.