CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Infrastructure
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Profile & Business Summary
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-delivered protection across endpoints and cloud workloads, identity, and data. It offers threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. The company primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules through its direct sales team that leverages its network of channel partners. It serves customers worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | CRWD |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.crowdstrike.com |
Market Trend Overview for CRWD
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-11-06 (ET)
As of 2026-11-06, CRWD is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
CRWD last closed at 216.90. The price is about 1.0 ATR below its recent average price (240.64), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 216.90 is near minor support around 200.60. Momentum may slow, while light resistance sits near 233.88. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.
Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-10-15, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-10-27] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because predictability is still too low, internal signals are not aligned strongly enough, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk, and the setup already looks stretched. Predictability is 20%, agreement is 47%, and reversal risk is 36%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 48 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-09-01 to 2026-11-06. The current price is 216.90, 11.10% below the estimated average cost of 243.97. An estimated 11.6% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 87.8% is above it. The peak-density price is 251.20. The largest concentrated cost region is 235.50 to 252.70 and contains 36.1% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 216.50 to 218.10 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 214.70 to 215.10. The nearest region above the current price is 220.30 to 220.50.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for CRWD
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 7%)
Structure Analysis
CRWD Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.2 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -21.1%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-10-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.