Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Energy • Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) Profile & Business Summary
Coterra Energy Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the development, exploration and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. It primarily focuses on the Marcellus Shale with approximately 177,000 net acres in the dry gas window of the play located in Susquehanna County, Pennsylvania. The company also holds Permian Basin properties with approximately 306,000 net acres; and Anadarko Basin properties located in Oklahoma with approximately 182,000 net acres. In addition, it operates natural gas and saltwater disposal gathering systems in Texas. The company sells its natural gas to industrial customers, local distribution companies, oil and gas marketers, major energy companies, pipeline companies, and power generation facilities. As of December 31, 2021, it had proved reserves of approximately 2,892,582 thousand barrels of oil equivalent, which include 189,429 thousand barrels of oil and other liquid hydrocarbons, 14,895 billion cubic feet of natural gas, and 220,615 thousand barrels of natural gas liquids. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | CTRA |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.coterra.com |
Market Trend Overview for CTRA
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, CTRA is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
CTRA last closed at 35.18. The price is about 1.5 ATR above its recent average price (34.18), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 35.18 is holding above minor support near 32.79. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 36.67. View Support & Resistance from Options
The trend is still positive, but signs of slowing momentum suggest growing two-sided risk.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside level is near 29.23. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-03-17, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-03-25] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal in open space between key levels. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
As of 2026-03-25, price has extended significantly above its primary volume area, entering a liquidity-thin zone. While the uptrend remains intact, the risk of chasing strength has increased.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 63.3% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 63.3%, with predictability at 48% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 20%, while reward/risk stands at 0.22. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 7.1% above the recent estimated cost basis of 32.86, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (30.06 to 32.47), and about 98% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The lower down support area sits around 34.25 to 34.37. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. There is also a nearby thin-trading zone above between 35.29 and 35.35, so moves can travel faster if price enters that area. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 34.25 to 34.37, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for CTRA
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 19%)
Structure Analysis
CTRA Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 18/100, DTC percentile 22%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 17.7%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -24%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.