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Deere & Company (DE) Corporate Logo

Deere & Company (DE) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Agricultural - Machinery

Deere & Company (DE) Profile & Business Summary

Deere & Company manufactures and distributes various equipment worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment provides mid-size tractors, combines, cotton pickers and strippers, sugarcane harvesters, harvesting front-end equipment, sugarcane loaders, pull-behind scrapers, and tillage and seeding equipment, as well as application equipment, including sprayers and nutrient management, and soil preparation machinery for grain growers. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment offers utility tractors, and related loaders and attachments; turf and utility equipment, including riding lawn equipment, commercial mowing equipment, golf course equipment, and utility vehicles, as well as implements for mowing, tilling, snow and debris handling, aerating, residential, commercial, golf, and sports turf care applications; other outdoor power products; and hay and forage equipment. This segment also resells products from other manufacturers. It serves dairy and livestock producers, crop producers, and turf and utility customers. The Construction and Forestry segment provides a range of backhoe loaders, crawler dozers and loaders, four-wheel-drive loaders, excavators, motor graders, articulated dump trucks, landscape and skid-steer loaders, milling machines, pavers, compactors, rollers, crushers, screens, asphalt plants, log skidders, log feller bunchers, log loaders and forwarders, log harvesters, and attachments; and roadbuilding equipment. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases agriculture and turf, and construction and forestry equipment. It also offers wholesale financing to dealers of the foregoing equipment; and extended equipment warranties, as well as finances retail revolving charge accounts. Deere & Company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, Illinois.

Key Information

Ticker DE
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.deere.com
CIK Number 0000315189
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for DE

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)

As of 2026-08-10, DE is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

DE last closed at 609.28. The price is about 0.2 ATR below its recent average price (612.45), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 609.28 is moving between minor support near 590.06 and light resistance near 614.92. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 552.80. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-03, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-07-16] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-11 (ET)
Bearish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.


Why the model says this

Up probability is only 40.5%, with predictability at 63% and agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 14%, while reward/risk stands at -0.25. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 609.28, 0.73% below the estimated average cost of 613.73. An estimated 31.7% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 67.2% is above it. The peak-density price is 600.20. The largest concentrated cost region is 606.70 to 619.10 and contains 52.6% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 606.70 to 619.10 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 599.70 to 601.10. The nearest region above the current price is 619.90 to 621.70.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for DE

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.73

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 2.66%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -20.14%
20-Day Return 5.79%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 25%)

Structure Analysis

DE Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 6.0 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 18/100, DTC percentile 100%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -20%). Positioning is historically elevated, although price and liquidity conditions do not yet confirm structural fragility. Short positioning is at extreme historical levels.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules