Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Restaurants
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Profile & Business Summary
Domino's Pizza, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pizza company in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores. It also provides oven-baked sandwiches, pasta, boneless chicken and chicken wings, bread and dips side items, desserts, and soft drink products. As of January 2, 2022, the company operated approximately 18,800 stores in 90 markets. Domino's Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Key Information
| Ticker | DPZ |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.dominos.com |
Market Trend Overview for DPZ
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)
As of 2026-10-01, DPZ is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
DPZ last closed at 295.00. The price is about 0.6 ATR below its recent average price (300.78), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 295.00 is moving between light support near 294.94 and minor resistance near 304.99. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-08-17, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-09-11] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.
Up probability is only 39.3%, with predictability at 49% and agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 18%, while reward/risk stands at -0.22. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 295.00, 9.94% below the estimated average cost of 327.57. An estimated 10.7% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 88.9% is above it. The peak-density price is 297.00. The largest concentrated cost region is 339.90 to 353.70 and contains 34.9% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 293.90 to 302.30 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 290.90 to 293.50. The nearest region above the current price is 311.50 to 311.70.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for DPZ
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 0%)
Structure Analysis
DPZ Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 5.1 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -14.9%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.