Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Restaurants
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Profile & Business Summary
Domino's Pizza, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pizza company in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores. It also provides oven-baked sandwiches, pasta, boneless chicken and chicken wings, bread and dips side items, desserts, and soft drink products. As of January 2, 2022, the company operated approximately 18,800 stores in 90 markets. Domino's Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Key Information
| Ticker | DPZ |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.dominos.com |
Market Trend Overview for DPZ
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)
As of 2026-08-17, DPZ is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
DPZ last closed at 335.42. The price is about 1.0 ATR below its recent average price (345.95), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 335.42 is near minor support around 326.54. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 350.00. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term strength is developing against a weaker long-term trend, which increases the risk of downside reversals.
Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 308.67. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-08-17, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-08-14] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price movement appears increasingly driven by low-effort advances. Such hollow progression often reflects reduced participation and lower reliability of continuation.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because internal signals are not aligned strongly enough and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 45%, agreement is 44%, and reversal risk is 20%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 335.42, 4.56% below the estimated average cost of 351.45. An estimated 8.9% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 90.7% is above it. The peak-density price is 352.00. The largest concentrated cost region is 345.70 to 354.70 and contains 40.7% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region above the current price is 337.70 to 337.90.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for DPZ
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is well above normal levels, increasing the risk of forced covering and sudden price moves. (Historical percentile: 78%)
Structure Analysis
DPZ Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.7 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 0/100, DTC percentile 29%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.