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Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) Corporate Logo

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Real Estate • Industry: REIT - Mortgage

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) Profile & Business Summary

Dynex Capital, Inc., a mortgage real estate investment trust, invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) on a leveraged basis in the United States. It invests in agency and non-agency MBS consisting of residential MBS, commercial MBS (CMBS), and CMBS interest-only securities. Agency MBS have a guaranty of principal payment by an agency of the U.S. government or a U.S. government-sponsored entity, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Non-Agency MBS have no such guaranty of payment. The company has qualified as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Glen Allen, Virginia.

Key Information

Ticker DX
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.dynexcapital.com
CIK Number 0000826675
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for DX

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)

As of 2026-07-14, DX is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

DX last closed at 13.22. The price is about 0.6 ATR above its recent average price (13.02), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 13.22 is moving between light support near 13.21 and minor resistance near 13.25. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-05-04, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-07-14 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-07-15 (ET)
No clear next-day edge

What the model sees

The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the signal stack remains conflicted and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 42%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 28%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-07-14 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is only slightly above the recent estimated cost basis of 13.12. Price is above the main cost band (13.07 to 13.22), and about 80% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The higher up selling area sits around 13.34 to 13.36. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the structure still looks constructive, but with so much recent positioning already in profit, the main thing to watch is whether momentum stays orderly.

Analytical Modules