EBAY Stock Forecast & Next-Day Prediction
This page provides a complete EBAY stock analysis supported by real-time market data. It includes momentum trends, volatility regimes, options positioning, ETF fund flows, macro risk indicators, and supply–demand pressure from volume distribution. It also features a EBAY stock forecast with a next-day probability estimate generated by WhaleQuant’s multi-factor AI prediction model.
EBAY Short-Term Forecast Details
Forecast Published (New York Time / ET): 2025-12-24
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1. 📊 Technical Momentum
- Momentum Score: 71.8
- Momentum is strong; the trend is healthy with room for further short-term upside.
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2. 🕯️ Candle Structure
- Candle Score: 0.33
- The candle shows mild bullish characteristics, with a slightly stronger close, indicating moderate upward bias but with a lack of strong momentum.
- Overnight vs Intraday Structure: -0.12
- Bearish bias: intraday weakness dominates, indicating potential short-term downside risk.
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3. 📈 Volatility (ATR)
- ATR Score: 20.0
- Volatility Regime: ExtremeVol
- Volatility is extremely high. Conditions are unstable with large swings or stress events. Signal reliability is significantly reduced.
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4. 📦 Volume Profile
- High-Volume Zone: 80.90 ~ 84.27 (mid 82.58)
- Volume Pressure: 0.046
- Buying and selling pressure are balanced, with no clear support or resistance dominance.
- Price is above the major volume zone, indicating strong underlying support. A pullback into the zone may lead to consolidation.
- VP Reliability: 0.83
- The Volume Profile structure is highly reliable. Recent volume strongly aligns with major high-volume nodes, indicating that historical liquidity zones are actively influencing current price behavior.
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5. 📉 Volume Strength (Volume Score)
- Volume Score: -0.38
- Volume is slightly weak, with fading participation and limited support behind price moves.
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6. 📜 Historical Market Statistics
- Historical Probability of a 5-Day Rise (based on past similar setups): 54.32%
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7. 💹 Macro Environment
- 13-week T-Bill: 3.522 → 3.555
- DXY: 98.533 → 97.980
- VIX: 16.280 → 13.470
- Short-term yields moved higher, putting mild pressure on equity valuations; The U.S. dollar weakened, which typically benefits tech and growth sectors; VIX declined, suggesting an improvement in market risk sentiment.
- Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 3.680 → 3.660
- The secured overnight financing rate has declined noticeably, easing short-term funding conditions and supporting risk assets.
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8. 🧠 Market Sentiment
- Sentiment Index: 60.0
- ETF Risk Appetite: -0.252
- Sentiment leans toward greed; investors are more aggressive, but profit-taking pressure may rise. ETF flows tilt defensive, indicating cautious institutional sentiment.
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9. 📉 Options Structure
- IV Skew: -3.451
- Skew is deeply negative, signaling heavy demand for downside protection, typically seen during fear-driven markets or ahead of risk events.
- GEX Index: 0.870
- GEX is strongly positive, indicating meaningful volatility compression.
- DPI: 0.559
- Dealers hold a clearly net-long stance, absorbing price shocks and stabilizing market action.
- Options structure indicates mixed signals across volatility, dealer positioning, and skew — short-term direction requires broader confirmation.
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10. 🧮 Final Prediction
- Next-Day Upside Probability: 48.77%
- EBAY shows a slightly pressured short-term structure, with a 48.77% upside probability. The configuration leans mildly to the downside but remains within a broadly balanced range.
📌 Structural Signal: Conditions are closer to a neutral-to-weak regime than a clear bearish trend.
📌 Positioning Tone: Short-term participants often keep risk light and wait for clearer confirmation before committing in either direction.
Data update note: Some datasets (ETF flows, aggregated sentiment indicators) update with a one-day delay. Other components — options chain data, intraday volatility, real-time liquidity and volume signals — are refreshed throughout the trading day. The model blends these signals to produce a stable and statistically calibrated short-term probability forecast.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the EBAY stock forecast?
The EBAY stock forecast evaluates short-term probability of price direction based on momentum, volatility, sentiment, macro trends, options positioning, and ETF flows.
How accurate is the next-day prediction?
While no model can guarantee outcomes, WhaleQuant’s AI engine is calibrated using historical data patterns and real-time microstructure signals to generate statistically meaningful forecasts.
How often is the EBAY forecast updated?
Forecasts are updated daily using real-time volatility and liquidity indicators alongside end-of-day datasets to ensure consistency and stability.