Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Energy • Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Profile & Business Summary
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. The company operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining, Petrochemical and Biofuels; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. It engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas; transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels; processing and refining crude oil; distribution of natural gas and LPG; sale of refined and petrochemical products; supplying of electric power transmission services; design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of road and energy infrastructure projects; and supplying of information technology and telecommunications services. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 9,127 kilometers of crude oil and multi-purpose pipelines. It also produces and commercializes polypropylene resins and compounds, and masterbatches; and offers industrial service sales to customers and specialized management services. It has operations in Colombia, the United States, Asia, Central America and the Caribbean, Europe, South America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
Key Information
| Ticker | EC |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.ecopetrol.com.co |
Market Trend Overview for EC
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, EC is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
EC last closed at 16.16. The price is about 1.4 ATR above its recent average price (15.33), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 16.16 is holding above minor support near 15.28. If price continues higher, it may face light resistance around 16.45. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned, and momentum remains healthy, supporting further upside.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 13.31. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-10, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-06-29] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 69.8% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 69.8%, with predictability at 61% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 30%, while reward/risk stands at 0.47. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 5.8% above the recent estimated cost basis of 15.28, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (14.21 to 14.88), and about 92% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The lower down support area sits around 15.21 to 15.41. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 15.21 to 15.41, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.