Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Insurance - Brokers
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Profile & Business Summary
Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. The company provides sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services for the policyholders on behalf of the Erie Insurance Exchange. It also offers sales related services, including agent compensation, and sales and advertising support services; and underwriting services comprise underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as information technology services. Erie Indemnity Company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania.
Key Information
| Ticker | ERIE |
|---|---|
| Leadership | Timothy Gerard NeCastro |
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.erieinsurance.com |
Market Trend Overview for ERIE
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
This model looks at how prices behave over time to describe the current market environment. It focuses on whether price is moving steadily, stalling, or losing momentum, and checks both short-term and weekly trends for confirmation. The goal is not to predict exact prices, but to help understand when conditions are supportive, risky, or unclear.
Current Market Context (Short-Term)
As of 2026-02-06 (ET), ERIE is moving sideways. Price at 287.71 is moving between support near 282.96 and resistance near 288.37. There is no clear direction right now. View Support & Resistance from Options
Why the market looks this way?
Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)
As of 2026-02-06, ERIE is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
ERIE last closed at 287.71. The price is about 0.4 ATR above its recent average price (284.37), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility.
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.
On 2025-12-08, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-01-13] Trading activity was heavy, but price made little progress.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for ERIE
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)
Structure Analysis
ERIE Short positioning is very crowded. Current days to cover is 14.7 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.
Bull Trap Structural Risk
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias, appearing strong on the surface but structurally more fragile. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.