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Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Corporate Logo

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Insurance - Brokers

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Profile & Business Summary

Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. The company provides sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services for the policyholders on behalf of the Erie Insurance Exchange. It also offers sales related services, including agent compensation, and sales and advertising support services; and underwriting services comprise underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as information technology services. Erie Indemnity Company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania.

Key Information

Ticker ERIE
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.erieinsurance.com
CIK Number 0000922621
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for ERIE

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)

As of 2026-07-14, ERIE is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

ERIE last closed at 238.47. The price is about 0.9 ATR below its recent average price (245.46), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 238.47 is moving between light support near 237.59 and minor resistance near 248.98. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 221.43. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-26, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-07-13 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-07-14 (ET)
No clear next-day edge

What the model sees

The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.


Why the model says this

The model does not issue an actionable directional forecast. Predictability is 41%, agreement is 52%, and reversal risk is 15%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-07-14 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 21 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is modestly below the recent estimated cost basis of 242.38, so the recent structure is still leaning somewhat under pressure. Price is below the main cost band (247.12 to 256.47), and roughly 68% of recent positioning remains under water. That means rebounds can still run into supply from trapped holders. The lower down support area sits around 220.13 to 221.94. The higher up selling area sits around 245.57 to 248.42, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, this setup remains tougher until price can reclaim the lower edge of the main cost band near 247.12.

Analytical Modules