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Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) Corporate Logo

Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Energy • Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) Profile & Business Summary

Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of unconventional and onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas. It focuses on the development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland basin; and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware basin, which are part of the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico. As of December 31, 2021, the company's total acreage position was approximately 524,700 gross acres in the Permian Basin; and estimated proved oil and natural gas reserves were 1,788,991 thousand barrels of crude oil equivalent. It also held working interests in 5,289 gross producing wells, as well as royalty interests in 6,455 additional wells. In addition, the company owns mineral interests approximately 930,871 gross acres and 27,027 net royalty acres in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale; and owns, operates, develops, and acquires midstream infrastructure assets, including 866 miles of crude oil gathering pipelines, natural gas gathering pipelines, and an integrated water system in the Midland and Delaware Basins of the Permian Basin. Diamondback Energy, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.

Key Information

Ticker FANG
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.diamondbackenergy.com
CIK Number 0001539838
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for FANG

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)

As of 2026-08-17, FANG is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

FANG last closed at 206.29. The price is about 1.3 ATR above its recent average price (197.23), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 206.29 is moving between minor support near 190.05 and minor resistance near 210.80. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 180.61. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-04, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-17] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near resistance (0.74 ATR away). Reversal risk is higher. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Buying into the close appeared steady and controlled, consistent with deliberate overnight positioning.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-18 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 65.5% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 65.5%, with predictability at 66% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 14%, while reward/risk stands at 0.35. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 206.29, 4.58% above the estimated average cost of 197.25. An estimated 93.6% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 6.1% is above it. The peak-density price is 198.80. The largest concentrated cost region is 197.15 to 199.75 and contains 26.5% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 205.35 to 206.15.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for FANG

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.56

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 4.04%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -31.72%
20-Day Return 5.58%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 11%)

Structure Analysis

FANG Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.5 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Early signs of positioning pressure are emerging (Fragility Score 42/100, DTC percentile 79%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 5.6%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -32%).

Risk Summary

Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias; surface strength may mask a more fragile structure. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. High-level consolidation and compression suggest a fragile upside structure. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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