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Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Application

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Profile & Business Summary

Fair Isaac Corporation develops analytic, software, and data management products and services that enable businesses to automate, enhance, and connect decisions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Scores and Software. The Software segment offers pre-configured decision management solution designed for various business problems or processes, such as marketing, account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, financial crimes compliance, collection, and marketing, as well as associated professional services. This segment also provides FICO Platform, a modular software offering designed to support advanced analytic and decision use cases, as well as stand-alone analytic and decisioning software that can be configured by customers to address a wide range of business use cases. The Scores segment provides business-to-business scoring solutions and services for consumers that give clients access to analytics to be integrated into their transaction streams and decision-making processes, as well as business-to-consumer scoring solutions comprising myFICO.com subscription offerings. Fair Isaac Corporation markets its products and services primarily through its direct sales organization and indirect channels, as well as online. The company was formerly known as Fair Isaac & Company, Inc. and changed its name to Fair Isaac Corporation in July 1992. Fair Isaac Corporation was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Bozeman, Montana.

Key Information

Ticker FICO
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.fico.com
CIK Number 0000814547
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for FICO

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)

As of 2026-08-28, FICO is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

FICO last closed at 1153.57. The price is about 0.2 ATR above its recent average price (1142.69), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 1153.57 is moving between minor support near 1065.69 and light resistance near 1188.80. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-21, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-14] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Selling into the close appeared orderly, consistent with deliberate overnight risk management.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-28 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-31 (ET)
Mild bullish lean, but not actionable

What the model sees

The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at 0.10 after adjustment, and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 51%, agreement is 90%, and reversal risk is 22%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-28 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 1153.57, 2.21% above the estimated average cost of 1128.60. An estimated 65.3% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 34.1% is above it. The peak-density price is 1146.00. The largest concentrated cost region is 1136.50 to 1175.50 and contains 32.5% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 1136.50 to 1175.50 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 1122.50 to 1126.50.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for FICO

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.41

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 8.87%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 17.03%
20-Day Return 2.72%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is well above normal levels, increasing the risk of forced covering and sudden price moves. (Historical percentile: 78%)

Structure Analysis

FICO Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 5.0 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 24/100, DTC percentile 71%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 2.7%).

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias; surface strength may mask a more fragile structure. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. High-level consolidation and compression suggest a fragile upside structure. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules