Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) Profile & Business Summary
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. It offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. The company also provides Alpha, a responsive small launch service; Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle; Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; Elytra, which offers space maneuverability and servicing; and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | FLY |
|---|---|
| Leadership | Jason Kim |
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.fireflyspace.com |
Market Trend Overview for FLY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
This model looks at how prices behave over time to describe the current market environment. It focuses on whether price is moving steadily, stalling, or losing momentum, and checks both short-term and weekly trends for confirmation. The goal is not to predict exact prices, but to help understand when conditions are supportive, risky, or unclear.
Current Market Context (Short-Term)
As of 2026-02-06 (ET), FLY is moving sideways. Price at 23.88 is close to support near 22.31. Moves may slow down, and resistance is near 28.74. View Support & Resistance from Options
Why the market looks this way?
Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)
As of 2026-02-06, FLY is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains neutral.
FLY last closed at 23.88. The price is about 0.9 ATR below its recent average price (26.63), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength.
Short-term momentum is positive, but the lack of longer-term confirmation limits upside confidence.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. Both short-term and longer-term trends lack clear confirmation.
A key downside level is near 18.37. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.
On 2026-01-26, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-01-20] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for FLY
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is above its usual range, suggesting rising pressure on short positions, though not yet extreme. (Historical percentile: 63%)
Structure Analysis
FLY Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 1.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.
Bull Trap Structural Risk
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.