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Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) Corporate Logo

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) Profile & Business Summary

Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. It offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. The company also provides Alpha, a responsive small launch service; Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle; Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; Elytra, which offers space maneuverability and servicing; and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas.

Key Information

Ticker FLY
Leadership Jason Kim
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.fireflyspace.com
CIK Number 0001860160
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for FLY

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), FLY is moving sideways. Price at 23.88 is close to support near 22.31. Moves may slow down, and resistance is near 28.74. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, FLY is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains neutral.

FLY last closed at 23.88. The price is about 0.9 ATR below its recent average price (26.63), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength.

Short-term momentum is positive, but the lack of longer-term confirmation limits upside confidence.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. Both short-term and longer-term trends lack clear confirmation.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 18.37. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-01-26, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-01-20] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for FLY

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.52

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 6.23%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 48.98%
20-Day Return -14.68%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is above its usual range, suggesting rising pressure on short positions, though not yet extreme. (Historical percentile: 63%)

Structure Analysis

FLY Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 1.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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