WhaleQuant.io

Fermi Inc. Common Stock (FRMI) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Utilities • Industry: Regulated Electric

Fermi Inc. Common Stock (FRMI) Profile & Business Summary

Fermi, Inc. engages in the development of energy infrastructure. It intends to develop an energy and data center development campus to support the needs of to-be-built AI infrastructure. The company was founded by Rick Perry, Toby Neugebauer and Griffin Perry on January 10, 2025 and is headquartered in Amrillo, TX.

Key Information

Ticker FRMI
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site http://www.fermiamerica.com
CIK Number 0002071778
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for FRMI

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)

As of 2026-03-25, FRMI is breaking down after a failed trend. Over the longer term, the trend remains neutral.

FRMI last closed at 6.66. The price is about 1.7 ATR below its recent average price (8.05), and the market is currently in a breakdown after a failed trend. Price at 6.66 has weakened below prior structure. Next minor support lies near 5.47, while resistance is around 8.79. View Support & Resistance from Options

The prior trend has broken down. Downside risk is higher, and the market may need time to stabilize before a new direction forms.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 15 out of 100. Overall alignment is weak. The market is currently in a breakdown following a failed trend. Trend alignment is weak, and recent signals suggest the structure may be breaking down.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-03-05, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-03-02] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)
FRMI is not currently in a trend-dominant environment, so the trend prediction model is not activated for this run.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 14.9% below the recent estimated cost basis of 7.83, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is below the main cost band (7.00 to 7.61), and roughly 100% of recent positioning remains under water. That means rebounds can still run into supply from trapped holders. The next higher selling area sits around 6.72 to 7.68, and overhead supply looks fairly concentrated there. From a trading point of view, this setup remains tougher until price can reclaim the lower edge of the main cost band near 7.00.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for FRMI

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.91

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 6.25%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 2.33%
20-Day Return -43.51%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

FRMI Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.1 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -43.5%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules