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Fermi Inc. Common Stock (FRMI) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Utilities • Industry: Regulated Electric

Fermi Inc. Common Stock (FRMI) Profile & Business Summary

Fermi, Inc. engages in the development of energy infrastructure. It intends to develop an energy and data center development campus to support the needs of to-be-built AI infrastructure. The company was founded by Rick Perry, Toby Neugebauer and Griffin Perry on January 10, 2025 and is headquartered in Amrillo, TX.

Key Information

Ticker FRMI
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site http://www.fermiamerica.com
CIK Number 0002071778
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for FRMI

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-20 (ET)

As of 2026-07-20, FRMI is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

FRMI last closed at 6.12. The price is about 0.7 ATR below its recent average price (6.52), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 6.12 is near light support around 5.88. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 7.00. View Support & Resistance from Options

The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 5.38. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-07-06, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-07-20 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-07-21 (ET)
No clear next-day edge

What the model sees

The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 33%, agreement is 63%, and reversal risk is 23%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-07-20 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 12.7% below the recent estimated cost basis of 7.01, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (6.04 to 6.43), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The broader structure still looks stretched on the weak side, so recovery attempts may need more proof before improving the tone. The higher up selling area sits around 6.69 to 6.75. Roughly 77% of recent positioning remains under water, so rebound attempts can still run into supply from trapped holders. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the main question is whether rebounds remain healthy enough to reach and absorb the higher overhead supply zone.

Analytical Modules