First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Energy • Industry: Solar
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) Profile & Business Summary
First Solar, Inc. provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United State, Japan, France, Canada, India, Australia, and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells cadmium telluride solar modules that converts sunlight into electricity. It serves developers and operators of systems, utilities, independent power producers, commercial and industrial companies, and other system owners. The company was formerly known as First Solar Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to First Solar, Inc. in 2006. First Solar, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.
Key Information
| Ticker | FSLR |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.firstsolar.com |
Market Trend Overview for FSLR
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, FSLR is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
FSLR last closed at 204.46. The price is about 0.8 ATR below its recent average price (213.20), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 204.46 is near light support around 203.77. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 240.84. View Support & Resistance from Options
The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 194.50. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-08-18, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-08-28] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near support (0.07 ATR away). Buyers may defend this level. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent price movement appears increasingly driven by low-effort advances. Such hollow progression often reflects reduced participation and lower reliability of continuation.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.
Up probability is only 42.0%, with predictability at 60% and agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 15%, while reward/risk stands at -0.22. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 204.46, 9.42% below the estimated average cost of 225.72. An estimated 9.2% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 90.2% is above it. The peak-density price is 214.40. The largest concentrated cost region is 233.70 to 241.30 and contains 17.3% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 201.90 to 207.10 cost region. The nearest region above the current price is 208.30 to 208.70.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for FSLR
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 11%)
Structure Analysis
FSLR Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 5.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Early signs of positioning pressure are emerging (Fragility Score 48/100, DTC percentile 93%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -27%).
Risk Summary
Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Phase: Building. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.