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The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Corporate Logo

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Home Improvement

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Profile & Business Summary

The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer. It operates The Home Depot stores that sell various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products The company also offers installation services for flooring, cabinets and cabinet makeovers, countertops, furnaces and central air systems, and windows. In addition, it provides tool and equipment rental services. The company primarily serves homeowners; and professional renovators/remodelers, general contractors, maintenance professionals, handymen, property managers, building service contractors, and specialty tradesmen, such as electricians, plumbers, and painters. It also sells its products through websites, including homedepot.com; blinds.com, an online site for custom window coverings; and thecompanystore.com, an online site for textiles and décor products. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 2,317 stores in the United States. The Home Depot, Inc. was incorporated in 1978 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.

Key Information

Ticker HD
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.homedepot.com
CIK Number 0000354950
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for HD

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-13 (ET)

As of 2026-07-13, HD is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

HD last closed at 337.11. The price is about 0.2 ATR below its recent average price (338.70), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 337.11 is moving between minor support near 326.17 and minor resistance near 337.19. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 314.66. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-09, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-07-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-07-13 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-07-14 (ET)
Bearish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.


Why the model says this

Up probability is only 38.4%, with predictability at 57% and agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 15%, while reward/risk stands at -0.27. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-07-13 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is modestly below the recent estimated cost basis of 342.35, so the recent structure is still leaning somewhat under pressure. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (333.31 to 343.94), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The lower down support area sits around 333.31 to 335.20. The higher up selling area sits around 341.81 to 346.06, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. Roughly 71% of recent positioning remains under water, so rebound attempts can still run into supply from trapped holders. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the structure is still best read by comparing price with the main cost band first, then watching whether the lower support zone or higher supply zone becomes the next directional checkpoint.

Analytical Modules