Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Investment - Banking & Investment Services
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Profile & Business Summary
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. operates as an automated electronic broker in the United States and internationally. The company engages in the execution, clearance, and settlement of trades in stocks, options, futures, foreign exchange instruments, bonds, mutual funds, exchange traded funds (ETFs), precious metals, and cryptocurrencies. It also offers custody and service accounts for hedge and mutual funds, ETFs, registered investment advisors, proprietary trading groups, introducing brokers, and individual investors. In addition, the company provides custody, prime brokerage, securities, and margin lending services. It serves institutional and individual customers through electronic exchanges and market centers. Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Key Information
| Ticker | IBKR |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.interactivebrokers.com |
Market Trend Overview for IBKR
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)
As of 2026-08-17, IBKR is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
IBKR last closed at 94.33. The price is about 1.3 ATR above its recent average price (90.87), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 94.33 is holding above minor support near 92.41. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 96.71. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned, and momentum remains healthy, supporting further upside.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 82.53. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-17, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-11] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 67.6% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 67.6%, with predictability at 61% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 22%, while reward/risk stands at 0.34. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 94.33, 5.47% above the estimated average cost of 89.44. An estimated 98.8% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 0.9% is above it. The peak-density price is 86.34. The largest concentrated cost region is 90.35 to 91.01 and contains 13.1% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 91.47 to 92.27.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for IBKR
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 41%)
Structure Analysis
IBKR Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.0 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 37/100, DTC percentile 25%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 2.9%) with short positioning continuing to expand.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias; surface strength may mask a more fragile structure. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. High-level consolidation and compression suggest a fragile upside structure. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.