iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management - Bonds
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) Profile & Business Summary
The underlying index measures the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity of greater than or equal to seven years and less than ten years. The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that the advisor believes will help the fund track the underlying index.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for IEF
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-13 (ET)
As of 2026-07-13, IEF is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
IEF last closed at 93.29. The price is about 1.4 ATR below its recent average price (93.97), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 93.29 is near minor support around 92.95. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 94.56. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.
Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-07-01, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.
Up probability is only 40.2%, with predictability at 53% and agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 16%, while reward/risk stands at -0.22. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is only slightly below the recent estimated cost basis of 94.12. Price is below the main cost band (93.99 to 94.24), and roughly 99% of recent positioning remains under water. That means rebounds can still run into supply from trapped holders. The higher up selling area sits around 93.40 to 93.43, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. There is also a nearby thin-trading zone above between 93.34 and 93.37, so moves can travel faster if price enters that area. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, this setup remains tougher until price can reclaim the lower edge of the main cost band near 93.99.