iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: AMEX • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) Profile & Business Summary
The fund generally invests at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index (i.e., depositary receipts representing securities of the underlying index) and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents.
Key Information
| Ticker | IWM |
|---|---|
| Exchange | AMEX |
| Official Site | https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239710/ishares-russell-2000-etf |
Market Trend Overview for IWM
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)
As of 2026-08-17, IWM is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
IWM last closed at 304.06. The price is about 1.1 ATR above its recent average price (298.69), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 304.06 is holding above minor support near 294.98. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 309.53. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned, and momentum remains healthy, supporting further upside.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 291.72. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-15, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-14] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 63.9% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 63.9%, with predictability at 55% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 25%. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 304.06, 0.12% above the estimated average cost of 303.70. An estimated 65.0% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 31.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 303.80. The largest concentrated cost region is 303.32 to 304.27 and contains 64.2% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 303.32 to 304.27 cost region. The nearest region above the current price is 304.38 to 304.57.