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JD.com, Inc. (JD) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Specialty Retail

JD.com, Inc. (JD) Profile & Business Summary

JD.com, Inc. operates as a supply chain-based technology and service provider in the People's Republic of China. The company offers computers, communication, and consumer electronics products, as well as home appliances; and general merchandise products comprising food, beverage and fresh produce, baby and maternity products, furniture and household goods, cosmetics and other personal care items, pharmaceutical and healthcare products, industrial products, books, automobile accessories, apparel and footwear, bags, and jewelry. It also provides online marketplace services for third-party merchants; marketing services; and omni-channel solutions to customers and offline retailers, as well as online healthcare services. In addition, the company develops, owns, and manages its logistics facilities and other real estate properties to support third parties; offers asset management services and integrated service platform; leasing of storage facilities and related management services; and engages in online retail business. Further, it provides integrated data, technology, business, and user management industry solutions to support the digitization of enterprises and institutions; and technology-driven supply chain solutions and logistics services. The company was formerly known as 360buy Jingdong Inc. and changed its name to JD.com, Inc. in January 2014. JD.com, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Key Information

Ticker JD
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.jd.com
CIK Number 0001549802
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for JD

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)

As of 2026-08-17, JD is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

JD last closed at 28.50. The price is about 3.4 ATR below its recent average price (30.87), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 28.50 is near minor support around 27.48. Momentum may slow, while light resistance sits near 28.95. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Pullback Risk

Price is stretched well below its recent average (about 3.4 ATR). Downside extension is elevated, and chasing weakness here carries a higher rebound risk.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-13, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-04] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-18 (ET)
Mild bearish lean, but not actionable

What the model sees

The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at -0.12 after adjustment, the setup already looks stretched, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 56%, agreement is 90%, and reversal risk is 34%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 28.50, 8.19% below the estimated average cost of 31.04. An estimated 0.8% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 98.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 33.02. The largest concentrated cost region is 28.85 to 29.37 and contains 20.0% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 28.47 to 28.61 cost region. The nearest region above the current price is 28.85 to 29.37.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for JD

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.43

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 2.20%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -16.06%
20-Day Return -6.86%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 29%)

Structure Analysis

JD Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -6.9%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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