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JHX Options Chain — Open Interest, Implied Volatility, Max Pain & Gamma Exposure

Analyze the complete JHX options chain including strike-level open interest, real-time implied volatility (IV), max pain levels, gamma exposure, dealer positioning, and options flow trends. This dashboard provides data-driven insights for traders building directional or hedging strategies around JHX.

Latest Data: 2025-12-23 (EDT)
Max Pain Price
20
Exp: 2026-01-16
Gamma Flip
NaN
Gamma Flip (≈60 days)
Put/Call OI Ratio
0.184
Shows put vs call positioning
IV Skew
-1.91
Put–call IV difference
Max Pain Price Volatility
σ = 1.06
low volatility

Dealer–Gamma Regime

A combined view of JHX’s total gamma exposure (GEX) and Dealer Position Index (DPI). This helps identify whether dealer hedging flows support mean reversion or trend continuation in the current options market.

Overall Market Regime
Mean Reversion Zone
Long Gamma · Strong Net Long Options · Low Volatility
Low Volatility Mean Reversion Bias DPI Trend: neutral

Gamma Exposure
Total GEX
2.44M
Gamma Regime
Long Gamma
Flip Threshold: NaN

In a long gamma regime, dealers hedge against price moves, strengthening mean reversion and suppressing volatility.

Dealer Position Index (DPI)
Current DPI
0.877
Dealer Positioning
Strong Net Long Options
Trend Label: neutral

A Strong Net Long Options profile indicates how dealers hedge daily flows, influencing whether trends extend or revert.


Market Behavior (Gamma Flip–Based)

Market signals are mixed and less reliable.

No short-term gamma flip is observed


Combined Interpretation

With Long Gamma and a neutral DPI trend , the current setup favors Mean Reversion Zone .

Dealer hedging flows interact with gamma positioning to form short-term volatility regimes. Stronger directional movement is more likely when gamma is short or unstable.

Volatility Environment
Low Volatility
Trend vs Mean Reversion
Mean Reversion Bias
Dealer Hedging Behavior
Strong Net Long Options

Options-Based Market Outlook & Short-Term Sentiment for JHX • As of 2025-12-23
Bearish Bias (Confidence: 35%)

A slight bearish tilt is visible, though the signal is weak and insufficient for a strong directional call. Lower confidence indicates limited directional agreement across option indicators.


Put-Side Positioning Insight
On the put side, the bearish positioning looks mainly like hedging. This reflects caution and short-term protection rather than a true bearish call. Confidence: 100%


Key Price Levels: Support, Resistance & Pivot for JHX
The support levels for JHX are at 20.27, 19.42, and 14.08, while the resistance levels are at 21.39, 22.24, and 27.58. The pivot point, a key reference price for traders, is at 20.00.

Important intraday and swing-trading price levels derived from max pain, open interest distribution, and gamma positioning. These price levels are derived from Max Pain analysis, gamma exposure trends, and open interest dynamics, which are crucial factors for assessing market sentiment and potential price movements. Traders can use the support and resistance levels to identify key price zones for entry or exit points, while the pivot point serves as an important reference for gauging trend direction.


Option-Implied Price Range (DTE: 24)
Based on the latest options positioning (DTE 24), the ATM straddle implies a standardized 1.69% 1-day move.
The expected range for the next 24 days is 20.28 21.87 , corresponding to +4.99% / -2.63% .

Bullish flow suggests upside interest toward 22.67 (8.84% above spot).

Bearish positioning points to downside pressure toward 19.95 (4.20% below spot).

Options flow strength: 0.45 (0–1 scale).

ATM Strike: 20.00, Call: 1.32, Put: 0.40, Straddle Cost: 1.73.

Estimated using ATM implied volatility, OTM option flow, and dealer hedging conditions to capture the market-implied price range.

📘 Show Options Market Insight

1. Core Volatility Signal (1.69% Standardized 1-Day Move)

“The ATM straddle implies a standardized 1-day move of 1.69%.”

This means:

  • Short-term implied volatility is elevated.
  • The market is pricing increased uncertainty.
  • Traders may expect near-term catalysts or instability.

📌 Plain interpretation: Volatility is picking up — uncertainty is increasing.

2. Expected Price Range (Next 24 Days)

The options market is pricing the following risk range:
20.28 – 21.87

Upper: +4.99%  •  Lower: -2.63%

🔺 Bullish Skew — upside potential outweighs downside risk.

3. Bullish Flow vs Bearish Flow

▶ Bullish Flow

Upside interest clusters near 22.67 (8.84% above spot).
This region may act as short-term resistance.

▶ Bearish Flow

Downside pressure clusters near 19.95 (4.20% below spot).
This is a downside “magnet zone” where put demand concentrates.

4. Flow Strength: 0.45

Flow strength is weak — option activity is scattered or light, making directional signals less reliable.

5. ATM Straddle Cost

The ATM straddle costs 1.73 (8.28% of spot).

⚠️ Extremely high volatility premium — the market is bracing for a major event.

🔥 Professional Summary

1️⃣ The options market leans toward upside potential.
2️⃣ Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting increased uncertainty.
3️⃣ Call activity dominates — traders position for upside moves.
4️⃣ FlowStrength 0.45 indicates moderate informational value.

⭐ One-sentence takeaway: The options market reflects a mild bullish tilt for JHX.

The insights are generated by an AI-driven options analysis model. We strongly recommend interpreting the data in the context of your own judgment and market understanding.

DPI Trend Index

Dealer Position Index (DPI) tracks how options dealers are positioned. Rising DPI → dealers long options (mean reversion). Falling DPI → dealers short options (trend amplification).
DPI does not predict direction. It only answers one question: once price moves, will the market reinforce that move? DPI reflects the direction and strength of dealer gamma exposure — not a bullish or bearish call.

Latest Trend Interpretation:

Neutral consolidation, trend and momentum are indistinct. From the current DPI structure, dealers appear largely neutral, suggesting limited willingness to reinforce directional price moves.

Gamma Exposure & Expiry Risk Zones

Gamma Exposure (GEX) defines how option dealer hedging interacts with price moves. Large expiries can sharply alter hedging pressure and trigger volatility shifts.

Market GEX vs Price History

Aggregate gamma exposure plotted with underlying price. Sharp GEX declines or flip-zone tests often precede increased volatility.

GEX Danger Zone Overview
Symbol: JHX • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total GEX: 2.44M (Regime: Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability), Flip = 5.9M)
Max Danger Expiry: 2026-03-20 (DTE=87)
Expiry GEX: 1.69M (Contribution=69.0%)
Post-Expiry GEX: 756.62K (Regime: Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability))
⚠ This expiry is CRITICAL: removal may push GEX into Flip Zone or weaken gamma support sharply.
Expiry DTE GEX Contrib % Post-Expiry GEX Post Regime Tag
2026-03-20 87 1.69M 69.0% 756.62K Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2026-06-18 177 380.34K 15.6% 2.06M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2026-01-16 24 266.77K 10.9% 2.18M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2027-01-15 388 47.64K 2.0% 2.4M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2026-02-20 59 39.13K 1.6% 2.4M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2028-01-21 759 22.75K 0.9% 2.42M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical

Vanna Exposure & Risk Zone

Vanna measures how delta changes when implied volatility shifts. Heavy negative Vanna clusters can amplify volatility during IV shocks.

Current Vanna Exposure Overview
Symbol: JHX • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna
-156.85K
Net delta–vol sensitivity
Vanna Regime
Negative Vanna (Trend Amplifying)
Sensitivity to IV shocks
Max Danger Expiry
2026-03-20 (DTE 87)
Contribution: 58.4%
Large negative Vanna clusters increase hedging pressure during volatility spikes, amplifying directional trends.
Vanna Danger Zone Details
Symbol: JHX • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna: -156.85K ( Negative Vanna )
Max Danger Expiry: 2026-03-20 (DTE=87)
Expiry Vanna: -91.53K (Contribution=58.4%)
Post-Expiry Vanna: -65.32K (More Negative — Trend Risk ↑)
⚠ This expiry is CRITICAL: removal can sharply increase net negative Vanna, raising volatility sensitivity.
Expiry DTE Vanna Contrib % Post-Expiry Post Regime Tag
2026-03-20 87 -91.53K 58.4% -65.32K More Negative (Trend Risk ↑) Critical
2026-01-16 24 -47.82K 30.5% -109.03K More Negative (Trend Risk ↑)
2027-01-15 388 -9.56K 6.1% -147.29K More Negative (Trend Risk ↑)
2028-01-21 759 -5.86K 3.7% -150.99K More Negative (Trend Risk ↑)
2026-06-18 177 -3.82K 2.4% -153.03K More Negative (Trend Risk ↑)
2026-02-20 59 1.75K 1.1% -158.6K More Negative (Trend Risk ↑)

Volatility Structure & Term Structure

Short-dated and medium-term implied volatility, term structure shape, downside skew, and realized volatility context.

ATM IV Term Structure Snapshot
Symbol: JHX • As of 2025-12-23
30D ATM IV
49.33%
Front-end implied volatility
90D ATM IV
55.43%
Medium-term volatility anchor
IV Ratio (90D / 30D)
1.12
Long-term vs short-term IV
Term Structure Regime
Contango (Long-term Elevated)
Slope: 6.10 pts (30D→90D).

Smile Slope (Put25 – Call25)
-14.68%
Downside skew / crash premium
HV 21D vs IV
HV 21D: NaN%
IV – HV: 0.00%
IV is broadly in line with realized volatility.
IV Percentile / Rank
Percentile: 10.8%
Rank: 0.0%
Relative to 1-year history.
IV Z-Score
-0.81
Deviation vs recent average

ATM IV Term Structure

30D · 90D

IV vs Realized Volatility

HV 21D vs 30D IV
A contango structure shows longer-term volatility is priced higher. Smile slope reflects downside protection demand, while IV percentile and rank show how current IV compares to its own history.

JHX Max Pain — Daily Levels, Trend, Volatility Pressure & Options Positioning

Daily Max Pain levels with trend shifts, volatility pressure and options positioning cycles.

Max Pain Price Trend Index

Latest Trend Interpretation

Max Pain is stable, reflecting neutral options positioning.

➖ Trend strength: Very weak — no meaningful direction.

➖ Recent movement: Largely unchanged.

Trend Shifts

Green = Bullish • Dark Green = Strong Bullish • Gray = Neutral • Red = Bearish • Dark Red = Strong Bearish

Current OI Structure Reliability

OI Concentration / Pain Reliability · Dec 23 2025
Reliability: 85.2 (strong)
Max Pain @ 20.00 | Concentration=0.88 · Symmetry=1.00 · Sharpness=2.00
Reason
OI shows a concentrated peak near Max Pain with strong structure and symmetry.
Advice
Max Pain is reliable enough to use for mean reversion, breakout filters and short-term structure forecasts.

Max Pain Price Mean Reversion

Latest Mean Reversion Status
Dec 23 2025
Neutral (Z = 0.78)
Price is near Max Pain, showing balanced options pressure.
Price vs Max Pain Distance
Show Mean Reversion History
Date Price Max Pain Distance Z-Score Signal
2025-12-23 20.83 20.00 0.83 0.78 neutral
2025-12-22 20.78 20.00 0.78 0.73 neutral
2025-12-19 20.51 20.00 0.51 0.48 neutral
2025-12-18 20.38 20.00 0.38 0.36 neutral
2025-12-16 20.28 20.00 0.28 0.26 neutral
2025-12-15 20.38 20.00 0.38 0.36 neutral
2025-12-12 0.00 20.00 -20.00 -18.82 oversold
2025-12-11 20.36 20.00 0.36 0.34 neutral
2025-12-10 19.98 20.00 -0.02 -0.02 neutral
2025-12-09 19.07 20.00 -0.93 -0.87 neutral
2025-12-08 19.48 20.00 -0.52 -0.49 neutral
2025-12-05 20.01 20.00 0.01 0.01 neutral
2025-12-04 19.77 20.00 -0.23 -0.22 neutral
2025-12-03 19.74 20.00 -0.26 -0.24 neutral
2025-12-02 19.44 20.00 -0.56 -0.53 neutral
2025-12-01 19.27 20.00 -0.73 -0.69 neutral
2025-11-28 19.78 20.00 -0.22 -0.21 neutral
2025-11-26 19.51 20.00 -0.49 -0.46 neutral
2025-11-25 19.14 20.00 -0.86 -0.81 neutral
2025-11-24 18.63 20.00 -1.37 -1.29 oversold
2025-11-21 18.68 20.00 -1.32 -1.24 oversold
2025-11-20 17.89 20.00 -2.11 -1.99 oversold
2025-11-19 17.91 20.00 -2.09 -1.97 oversold
2025-11-18 17.83 20.00 -2.17 -2.04 oversold
2025-11-17 16.69 20.00 -3.31 -3.11 oversold
2025-11-14 16.69 20.00 -3.31 -3.11 oversold
2025-11-13 16.75 20.00 -3.25 -3.06 oversold
2025-11-12 16.96 20.00 -3.04 -2.86 oversold
2025-11-11 17.06 20.00 -2.94 -2.77 oversold
2025-11-07 17.39 22.50 -5.11 -4.81 oversold
2025-11-06 17.34 22.50 -5.16 -4.85 oversold
2025-11-05 18.50 22.50 -4.00 -3.76 oversold
2025-11-04 20.03 22.50 -2.47 -2.32 oversold
2025-11-03 20.45 22.50 -2.05 -1.93 oversold
2025-10-31 20.93 22.50 -1.57 -1.48 oversold
2025-10-30 21.11 22.50 -1.39 -1.31 oversold
2025-10-29 21.36 22.50 -1.14 -1.07 oversold
2025-10-28 22.39 22.50 -0.11 -0.10 neutral

Mean Reversion Backtest

Backtest Summary
Total Signals: 19 (Long: 19 · Short: 0)
1-Day Performance
Avg Return: +Inf%
Win Rate: 31.6%
3-Day Performance
Avg Return: +Inf%
Win Rate: 47.4%
Show Last 10 Trades
Date Signal Side Entry 1D Ret 3D Ret
2025-12-12 oversold long 0.00 +Inf% +Inf%
2025-11-24 oversold long 18.63 2.74% 6.17%
2025-11-21 oversold long 18.68 -0.27% 4.44%
2025-11-20 oversold long 17.89 4.42% 6.99%
2025-11-19 oversold long 17.91 -0.11% 4.02%
2025-11-18 oversold long 17.83 0.45% 4.77%
2025-11-17 oversold long 16.69 6.83% 7.19%
2025-11-14 oversold long 16.69 0.00% 7.31%
2025-11-13 oversold long 16.75 -0.36% 6.45%
2025-11-12 oversold long 16.96 -1.24% -1.59%

Historical Max Pain Effectiveness

Based on historical behavior (not current OI)
No Historical Effectiveness
Little to no historical alignment between price action and Max Pain.
Win Rate
1D: 33.3%
3D: 44.4%
Reversion Strength
0.00
Noise Score
0.84
Score (Win)
16.0 / 40
Score (Strength)
0.0 / 40
Score (Noise)
16.7 / 20
Historical Effectiveness Score: 32.7 (poor)
Disclaimer

Our analysis incorporates options market microstructure, institutional flow patterns, gamma and vanna dynamics, and dealer hedging models. The analytics and insights provided on this page are generated from a multi-factor options microstructure model, supported by WhaleQuant’s AI forecasting framework. These results reflect structural dynamics such as dealer positioning, hedging flows, volatility regimes, open interest concentration, and term structure behavior.

The outputs shown—including bias assessments and confidence scores—represent directional tendencies based on option market structure and should not be interpreted as price predictions, probability forecasts, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and all analyses are provided for informational purposes only.