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The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Corporate Logo

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Defensive • Industry: Packaged Foods

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Profile & Business Summary

The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its products include condiments and sauces, cheese and dairy products, meals, meats, refreshment beverages, coffee, and other grocery products. The company also offers dressings, healthy snacks, and other categories; and spices and other seasonings. It sells its products through its own sales organizations, as well as through independent brokers, agents, and distributors to chain, wholesale, cooperative and independent grocery accounts, convenience stores, drug stores, value stores, bakeries, pharmacies, mass merchants, club stores, and foodservice distributors and institutions, including hotels, restaurants, hospitals, health care facilities, and government agencies; and online through various e-commerce platforms and retailers. The company was formerly known as H.J. Heinz Holding Corporation and changed its name to The Kraft Heinz Company in July 2015. The Kraft Heinz Company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Key Information

Ticker KHC
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.kraftheinzcompany.com
CIK Number 0001637459
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for KHC

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)

As of 2026-10-01, KHC is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

KHC last closed at 22.46. The price is about 1.1 ATR below its recent average price (23.12), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 22.46 is near minor support around 21.52. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 24.99. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-10, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-09-17] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.

Overnight Positioning

Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-10-02 (ET)
Mild bearish lean, but not actionable

What the model sees

The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at -0.13 after adjustment, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 39%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 25%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 22.46, 9.87% below the estimated average cost of 24.92. An estimated 2.6% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 97.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 24.82. The largest concentrated cost region is 24.27 to 25.13 and contains 44.4% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region above the current price is 23.53 to 23.65.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for KHC

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.52

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 7.99%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 107.69%
20-Day Return -14.47%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is at a very high historical level. If price moves against shorts, reactions could be sharp and volatile. (Historical percentile: 98%)

Structure Analysis

KHC Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.1 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -14.5%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules