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Klarna Group plc (KLAR) Corporate Logo

Klarna Group plc (KLAR) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Infrastructure

Klarna Group plc (KLAR) Profile & Business Summary

Klarna Group plc operates as a technology-driven payments company in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company offers advertising and marketing solutions, consumer services, digital financial services, and personal shopping and money assistance services. In addition, it provides digital retail banking solutions, such as fixed-term deposits, savings, and bank accounts; digital loyalty cards; and customer and merchant support services, as well as manages personal finances. Klarna Group plc was formerly known as Klarna UK II plc and changed its name to Klarna Group plc in December 2023. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in London, United Kingdom.

Key Information

Ticker KLAR
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.klarna.com/uk
CIK Number 0002003292
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for KLAR

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)

As of 2026-08-10, KLAR is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

KLAR last closed at 19.62. The price is about 0.3 ATR above its recent average price (19.36), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 19.62 is moving between minor support near 18.93 and minor resistance near 20.08. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 17.30. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-04, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-07] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-11 (ET)
Mild bullish lean, but not actionable

What the model sees

The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment and reward/risk remains too thin at 0.11 after adjustment. Predictability is 53%, agreement is 73%, and reversal risk is 13%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 19.62, 2.20% above the estimated average cost of 19.20. An estimated 57.5% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 42.2% is above it. The peak-density price is 19.71. The largest concentrated cost region is 20.01 to 20.44 and contains 22.0% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 19.57 to 19.93 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 19.41 to 19.55. The nearest region above the current price is 20.01 to 20.44.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for KLAR

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.74

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 23.00%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -9.35%
20-Day Return 1.43%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 31%)

Structure Analysis

KLAR Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 7.1 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Early signs of positioning pressure are emerging (Fragility Score 49/100, DTC percentile 100%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity softening modestly (volume -9%). Short positioning is at extreme historical levels.

Risk Summary

Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Phase: Building. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded positioning is being reinforced by continued short build-up. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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