CarMax, Inc. (KMX) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Auto - Dealerships
CarMax, Inc. (KMX) Profile & Business Summary
CarMax, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles in the United States. The company operates through two segments, CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. It offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; and extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale, as well as sells vehicles that are approximately 10 years old and has more than 100,000 miles through wholesale auctions. The company also provides reconditioning and vehicle repair services; and financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum through its CarMax Auto Finance and arrangements with various financial institutions. As of February 28, 2022, it operated approximately 230 used car stores. CarMax, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Key Information
| Ticker | KMX |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.carmax.com |
Market Trend Overview for KMX
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-13 (ET)
As of 2026-07-13, KMX is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
KMX last closed at 54.87. The price is about 1.9 ATR above its recent average price (51.22), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 54.87 is moving between minor support near 50.46 and minor resistance near 58.24. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 43.96. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-07-06, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-07-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model does not deploy the setup because the current position looks stretched and more vulnerable to pullback or digestion.
The model does not deploy this setup because pullback risk is 60%, entry geometry is unfavorable at the current location, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and the setup already looks stretched. Predictability is 53%, agreement is 88%, and reversal risk is 34%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 5.6% above the recent estimated cost basis of 51.98, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (51.65 to 53.54), and about 95% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The lower down support area sits around 51.65 to 53.99. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The nearby selling area sits around 55.04 to 55.19. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 51.65 to 53.99, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.