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Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) Corporate Logo

Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Technology • Industry: Information Technology Services

Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) Profile & Business Summary

Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment offers national security solutions and systems for air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace for the U.S. Intelligence Community, the Department of Defense, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, military services, and government agencies of U.S. allies abroad, as well as other federal and commercial customers in the national security industry. Its solutions include technology, large-scale systems, command and control platforms, data analytics, logistics, and cybersecurity solutions, as well as intelligence analysis and operations support services to critical missions. The Civil segment provides systems integration services to air navigation service providers, including the federal aviation administration, the En route automation modernization, advanced technology oceanic procedure, time based flow management, terminal flight data management, geo-7, and future flight services, as well as enterprise-information display systems; and security detection and automation services. It also offers information technology (IT) solutions in cloud computing, mobility, application modernization, DevOps, data center, network modernization, asset management, help desk operations, and digital workplace enablement; and environment, energy, and infrastructure services. The Health segment offers solutions to federal and commercial customers responsible for health and well-being of people worldwide, including health information management, managed health, digital transformation, and life sciences research and development services. Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

Key Information

Ticker LDOS
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.leidos.com
CIK Number 0001336920
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for LDOS

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)

As of 2026-10-01, LDOS is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

LDOS last closed at 121.97. The price is about 1.2 ATR below its recent average price (127.18), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 121.97 is near minor support around 121.11. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 127.32. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-25, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-09-02] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-10-02 (ET)
No clear next-day edge

What the model sees

The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because predictability is still too low, internal signals are not aligned strongly enough, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 26%, agreement is 30%, and reversal risk is 26%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 121.97, 7.42% below the estimated average cost of 131.74. An estimated 13.1% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 86.5% is above it. The peak-density price is 140.00. The largest concentrated cost region is 138.45 to 143.05 and contains 27.7% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 121.95 to 122.95 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 118.25 to 118.45. The nearest region above the current price is 123.15 to 124.05.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for LDOS

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.88

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 4.21%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -16.96%
20-Day Return -8.83%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 25%)

Structure Analysis

LDOS Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -8.8%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules