Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Profile & Business Summary
Intuitive Machines, Inc. manufactures and supplies space products and services. It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond. It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | LUNR |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.intuitivemachines.com |
Market Trend Overview for LUNR
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-09-24 (ET)
As of 2026-09-24, LUNR is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
LUNR last closed at 15.70. The price is about 0.2 ATR above its recent average price (14.91), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 15.70 is moving between light support near 14.33 and minor resistance near 16.03. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 13.92. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-08-28, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-08-31] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 56.5% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 56.5%, with predictability at 45% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 22%. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 45 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-24. The current price is 15.70, 0.46% below the estimated average cost of 15.77. An estimated 59.8% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 39.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 15.66. The largest concentrated cost region is 14.41 to 16.33 and contains 52.6% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 14.41 to 16.33 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 14.27 to 14.29. The nearest region above the current price is 16.45 to 16.51.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for LUNR
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 0%)
Structure Analysis
LUNR Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 4.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Early signs of positioning pressure are emerging (Fragility Score 52/100, DTC percentile 100%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return -2.5%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -35%). Short positioning is at extreme historical levels.
Risk Summary
Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded short positioning and weakening liquidity are reinforcing each other. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-08-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.