Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Profile & Business Summary
Intuitive Machines, Inc. manufactures and supplies space products and services. It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond. It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | LUNR |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.intuitivemachines.com |
Market Trend Overview for LUNR
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)
As of 2026-08-10, LUNR is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
LUNR last closed at 15.78. The price is about 0.8 ATR above its recent average price (13.90), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 15.78 is moving between minor support near 12.70 and minor resistance near 17.95. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-07, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 62.3% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 62.3%, with predictability at 59% and signal agreement at 97%. Reversal risk is 28%, while reward/risk stands at 0.28. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 15.78, 13.24% above the estimated average cost of 13.94. An estimated 83.4% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 15.9% is above it. The peak-density price is 14.02. The largest concentrated cost region is 13.55 to 14.19 and contains 25.3% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 15.63 to 15.83 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 15.43 to 15.51. The nearest region above the current price is 16.23 to 16.49.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for LUNR
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 0%)
Structure Analysis
LUNR Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 3.8 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Structural fragility is building (Fragility Score 80/100, DTC percentile 100%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 1.6%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -24%). Short positioning is at extreme historical levels. The configuration implies elevated downside elasticity if momentum shifts.
Risk Summary
Risk conditions are elevated. Recent price strength may be less stable if selling pressure increases.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded short positioning and weakening liquidity are reinforcing each other. Crowded positioning is being reinforced by continued short build-up. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.