Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Profile & Business Summary
Intuitive Machines, Inc. manufactures and supplies space products and services. It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond. It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | LUNR |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.intuitivemachines.com |
Market Trend Overview for LUNR
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, LUNR is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
LUNR last closed at 20.55. The price is about 2.8 ATR above its recent average price (18.22), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 20.55 is moving between light support near 18.27 and minor resistance near 22.42. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
Price is far from its recent average (about 2.8 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.
A key downside level is near 13.24. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.
On 2026-02-05, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-03-18] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 9.4% above the recent estimated cost basis of 18.78, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (17.54 to 18.72), and about 87% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The next lower support area sits around 17.07 to 20.13, and it still looks fairly solid. The next higher selling area sits around 20.91 to 21.07. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support. The main question is whether deeper pullbacks can still hold the next lower 17.07 to 20.13 support zone.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for LUNR
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)
Structure Analysis
LUNR Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Structural fragility is elevated (Fragility Score 84/100, DTC percentile 100%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 29.3%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -27%). Short positioning is at extreme historical levels. The configuration implies elevated downside elasticity if momentum shifts.
Risk Summary
Risk conditions are high. If prices begin to weaken, downside reactions could become more sensitive than usual.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Phase: Building. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded short positioning and weakening liquidity are reinforcing each other. Crowded positioning is being reinforced by continued short build-up. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.