Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Defensive • Industry: Packaged Foods
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) Profile & Business Summary
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets value-added frozen potato products worldwide. It operates through four segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other. The company offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also offers its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' brands. In addition, it engages in the vegetable and dairy businesses. The company serves retail and foodservice customers; and grocery, mass merchants, club, and specialty retailers; and businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.
Key Information
| Ticker | LW |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.lambweston.com |
Market Trend Overview for LW
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-13 (ET)
As of 2026-07-13, LW is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
LW last closed at 46.98. The price is about 1.6 ATR above its recent average price (44.64), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 46.98 is moving between light support near 44.70 and minor resistance near 48.26. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 41.12. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-02, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 59.6% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 59.6%, with predictability at 55% and signal agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 15%, while reward/risk stands at 0.21. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 3.4% above the recent estimated cost basis of 45.45, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (45.22 to 46.53), and about 92% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The nearby support area sits around 46.77 to 46.86. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support. The main question is whether pullbacks stay orderly above or near 46.77 to 46.86.