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Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) Corporate Logo

Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Auto - Parts

Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) Profile & Business Summary

Mobileye Global Inc. engages in the development and deployment of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide. The company offers Driver Assist, which comprise ADAS and autonomous vehicle solutions that covers safety features, such as real-time detection of road users, geometry, semantics, and markings to provide safety alerts and emergency interventions; Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, a solution for drivers with interpretations of a scene in real-time; Mobileye SuperVision Lite, a driver assist solution; and Mobileye SuperVision, an operational point-to-point assisted driving navigation solution on various road types and includes cloud-based enhancements, such as road experience management and supports over-the-air updates. It also provides Mobileye Chauffeur, a generation solution; and Mobileye Drive, a Level 4 solution, which comprise a set of autonomous driving technology solutions, such as Self-Driving System & Vehicles and Autonomous Mobility as a Service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Intel Overseas Funding Corporation.

Key Information

Ticker MBLY
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.mobileye.com
CIK Number 0001910139
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for MBLY

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)

As of 2026-08-10, MBLY is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

MBLY last closed at 8.75. The price is about 0.4 ATR above its recent average price (8.58), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 8.75 is moving between minor support near 7.66 and light resistance near 9.49. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-07-20, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-07-20] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-11 (ET)
Mild bullish lean, but not actionable

What the model sees

The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment and reward/risk remains too thin at 0.10 after adjustment. Predictability is 56%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 17%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-10 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 8.75, 8.31% above the estimated average cost of 8.08. An estimated 95.2% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 4.1% is above it. The peak-density price is 8.02. The largest concentrated cost region is 7.90 to 8.32 and contains 45.3% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 8.68 to 8.76 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 8.38 to 8.50.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for MBLY

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.64

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 20.01%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 26.69%
20-Day Return -8.59%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is above its usual range, suggesting rising pressure on short positions, though not yet extreme. (Historical percentile: 67%)

Structure Analysis

MBLY Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.4 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -8.6%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules