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Medtronic plc (MDT) Corporate Logo

Medtronic plc (MDT) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Healthcare • Industry: Medical - Devices

Medtronic plc (MDT) Profile & Business Summary

Medtronic plc develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients worldwide. Its Cardiovascular Portfolio segment offers implantable cardiac pacemakers, cardioverter defibrillators, and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices; cardiac ablation products; insertable cardiac monitor systems; TYRX products; and remote monitoring and patient-centered software. It also provides aortic valves, surgical valve replacement and repair products, endovascular stent grafts and accessories, and transcatheter pulmonary valves; and percutaneous coronary intervention products, percutaneous angioplasty balloons, and products. The company's Medical Surgical Portfolio segment offers surgical stapling devices, vessel sealing instruments, wound closure, electrosurgery products, surgical artificial intelligence and robotic-assisted surgery products, hernia mechanical devices, mesh implants, gynecology and lung products, and various therapies to treat diseases, as well as products in the fields of minimally invasive gastrointestinal and hepatologic diagnostics and therapies, patient monitoring, airway management and ventilation therapies, and renal disease. Its Neuroscience Portfolio segment offers products for spinal surgeons; neurosurgeons; neurologists; pain management specialists; anesthesiologists; orthopedic surgeons; urologists; urogynecologists; interventional radiologists; ear, nose, and throat specialists; and systems that incorporate energy surgical instruments. It also provides image-guided surgery and intra-operative imaging systems and robotic guidance systems used in robot assisted spine procedures; and therapies for vasculature in and around the brain. The company's Diabetes Operating Unit segment offers insulin pumps and consumables, continuous glucose monitoring systems, smart insulin pen systems, and consumables and supplies. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Key Information

Ticker MDT
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.medtronic.com
CIK Number 0001613103
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for MDT

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)

As of 2026-08-17, MDT is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

MDT last closed at 90.60. The price is about 1.1 ATR above its recent average price (88.56), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 90.60 is holding above minor support near 83.84. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 93.74. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term strength is developing against a weaker long-term trend, which increases the risk of downside reversals.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 81.08. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-10, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-07] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-18 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 62.8% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 62.8%, with predictability at 64% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 12%, while reward/risk stands at 0.35. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 90.60, 2.98% above the estimated average cost of 87.98. An estimated 70.9% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 27.8% is above it. The peak-density price is 91.85. The largest concentrated cost region is 85.33 to 86.68 and contains 26.8% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 90.33 to 91.33 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 88.83 to 89.03. The nearest region above the current price is 91.62 to 92.03.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for MDT

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.70

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 1.42%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -30.66%
20-Day Return 8.78%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 3%)

Structure Analysis

MDT Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Early signs of positioning pressure are emerging (Fragility Score 42/100, DTC percentile 84%) while price maintains a mild upward bias (20D return 8.8%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -31%).

Risk Summary

Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias; surface strength may mask a more fragile structure. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. High-level consolidation and compression suggest a fragile upside structure. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules