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Medtronic plc (MDT) Corporate Logo

Medtronic plc (MDT) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Healthcare • Industry: Medical - Devices

Medtronic plc (MDT) Profile & Business Summary

Medtronic plc develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients worldwide. Its Cardiovascular Portfolio segment offers implantable cardiac pacemakers, cardioverter defibrillators, and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices; cardiac ablation products; insertable cardiac monitor systems; TYRX products; and remote monitoring and patient-centered software. It also provides aortic valves, surgical valve replacement and repair products, endovascular stent grafts and accessories, and transcatheter pulmonary valves; and percutaneous coronary intervention products, percutaneous angioplasty balloons, and products. The company's Medical Surgical Portfolio segment offers surgical stapling devices, vessel sealing instruments, wound closure, electrosurgery products, surgical artificial intelligence and robotic-assisted surgery products, hernia mechanical devices, mesh implants, gynecology and lung products, and various therapies to treat diseases, as well as products in the fields of minimally invasive gastrointestinal and hepatologic diagnostics and therapies, patient monitoring, airway management and ventilation therapies, and renal disease. Its Neuroscience Portfolio segment offers products for spinal surgeons; neurosurgeons; neurologists; pain management specialists; anesthesiologists; orthopedic surgeons; urologists; urogynecologists; interventional radiologists; ear, nose, and throat specialists; and systems that incorporate energy surgical instruments. It also provides image-guided surgery and intra-operative imaging systems and robotic guidance systems used in robot assisted spine procedures; and therapies for vasculature in and around the brain. The company's Diabetes Operating Unit segment offers insulin pumps and consumables, continuous glucose monitoring systems, smart insulin pen systems, and consumables and supplies. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Key Information

Ticker MDT
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.medtronic.com
CIK Number 0001613103
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for MDT

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)

As of 2026-10-01, MDT is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

MDT last closed at 86.44. The price is about 1.0 ATR below its recent average price (88.34), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 86.44 is near minor support around 84.96. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 87.89. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term strength is developing against a weaker long-term trend, which increases the risk of downside reversals.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 85.64. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-09-28, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-09-11] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-10-02 (ET)
Mild bearish lean, but not actionable

What the model sees

The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at -0.11 after adjustment, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory. Predictability is 38%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 23%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 86.44, 3.74% below the estimated average cost of 89.80. An estimated 15.3% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 83.9% is above it. The peak-density price is 91.85. The largest concentrated cost region is 90.47 to 93.23 and contains 41.1% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 85.72 to 86.68 cost region. The nearest region above the current price is 86.88 to 87.33.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for MDT

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.81

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 1.35%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 14.18%
20-Day Return -6.23%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is above its usual range, suggesting rising pressure on short positions, though not yet extreme. (Historical percentile: 70%)

Structure Analysis

MDT Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.0 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -6.2%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules