MGM Resorts International (MGM) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
MGM Resorts International (MGM) Profile & Business Summary
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts in the United States and Macau. The company operates through three segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, and MGM China. Its casino resorts offer gaming, hotel, convention, dining, entertainment, retail, and other resort amenities. The company's casino operations include slots and table games, as well as online sports betting and iGaming through BetMGM. As of February 17, 2021, its portfolio consisted of 29 hotel and destination gaming offerings. The company also owns and operates Las Vegas Strip Resorts and Fallen Oak golf course. Its customers include premium gaming customers; leisure and wholesale travel customers; business travelers; and group customers, including conventions, trade associations, and small meetings. The company was formerly known as MGM MIRAGE and changed its name to MGM Resorts International in June 2010. MGM Resorts International was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Key Information
| Ticker | MGM |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.mgmresorts.com |
Market Trend Overview for MGM
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)
As of 2026-10-01, MGM is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
MGM last closed at 30.47. The price is about 1.2 ATR below its recent average price (32.33), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 30.47 is near minor support around 28.69. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 32.25. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.
Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-07-21, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model does not deploy the setup because the current position looks stretched and more vulnerable to pullback or digestion.
The model does not deploy this setup because pullback risk is 57%, entry geometry is unfavorable at the current location, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and the setup already looks stretched. Predictability is 46%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 32%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 30.47, 19.34% below the estimated average cost of 37.78. An estimated 2.9% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 96.6% is above it. The peak-density price is 33.75. The largest concentrated cost region is 33.48 to 34.38 and contains 16.8% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 30.23 to 30.47 cost region. The nearest region above the current price is 30.98 to 32.12.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for MGM
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 42%)
Structure Analysis
MGM Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 9.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -26.5%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.