Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Healthcare • Industry: Medical - Healthcare Plans
Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) Profile & Business Summary
Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed health care services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces. It operates in four segments, Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. As of December 31, 2021, the company served the company served approximately 5.2 million members eligible for Medicaid, Medicare, and other government-sponsored healthcare programs in 18 states. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | MOH |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
Market Trend Overview for MOH
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, MOH is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
MOH last closed at 200.00. The price is about 0.1 ATR above its recent average price (199.49), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 200.00 is moving between light support near 196.80 and minor resistance near 204.66. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 191.80. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-14, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-17] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 60.4% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 60.4%, with predictability at 52% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 25%. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 200.00, 0.41% above the estimated average cost of 199.17. An estimated 56.4% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 42.5% is above it. The peak-density price is 201.40. The largest concentrated cost region is 197.35 to 201.85 and contains 39.7% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 197.35 to 201.85 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 193.85 to 196.95. The nearest region above the current price is 202.55 to 203.65.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for MOH
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is well above normal levels, increasing the risk of forced covering and sudden price moves. (Historical percentile: 89%)
Structure Analysis
MOH Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 1.4 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 0/100, DTC percentile 21%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.