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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Corporate Logo

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Semiconductors

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Profile & Business Summary

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, marketing, and sale of semiconductor-based power electronics solutions for the computing and storage, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer markets. The company provides direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs) that are used to convert and control voltages of various electronic systems, such as portable electronic devices, wireless LAN access points, computers and notebooks, monitors, infotainment applications, and medical equipment. It also offers lighting control ICs for backlighting that are used in systems, which provide the light source for LCD panels in notebook computers, monitors, car navigation systems, and televisions, as well as for general illumination products. The company sells its products through third-party distributors and value-added resellers, as well as directly to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, electronic manufacturing service providers, and other end customers in China, Taiwan, Europe, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Japan, the United States, and internationally. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Kirkland, Washington.

Key Information

Ticker MPWR
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.monolithicpower.com
CIK Number 0001280452
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for MPWR

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)

As of 2026-03-25, MPWR is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

MPWR last closed at 1118.66. The price is about 0.7 ATR above its recent average price (1094.06), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 1118.66 is holding above minor support near 1100.00. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 1225.17. View Support & Resistance from Options

The trend is still positive, but signs of slowing momentum suggest growing two-sided risk.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 80 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 984.75. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-03-25, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-03-19] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)
MPWR is not currently in a trend-dominant environment, so the trend prediction model is not activated for this run.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 3.5% above the recent estimated cost basis of 1081.21, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (1074.66 to 1091.61), and about 90% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The nearby support area sits around 1113.85 to 1118.09, and it looks fairly solid right now. There is also a nearby thin-trading zone above between 1127.62 and 1129.74, so moves can travel faster if price enters that area. Recent trading is fairly concentrated, so the nearby heavy zones may matter more than usual. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support. The main question is whether pullbacks stay orderly above or near 1113.85 to 1118.09.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for MPWR

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.88

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 4.39%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -26.57%
20-Day Return -9.20%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

MPWR Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -9.2%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules