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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Infrastructure

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Profile & Business Summary

Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft Viva, and Skype for Business; Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organizations and enterprise divisions. The Intelligent Cloud segment licenses SQL, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses; GitHub that provides a collaboration platform and code hosting service for developers; Nuance provides healthcare and enterprise AI solutions; and Azure, a cloud platform. It also offers enterprise support, Microsoft consulting, and nuance professional services to assist customers in developing, deploying, and managing Microsoft server and desktop solutions; and training and certification on Microsoft products. The More Personal Computing segment provides Windows original equipment manufacturer (OEM) licensing and other non-volume licensing of the Windows operating system; Windows Commercial, such as volume licensing of the Windows operating system, Windows cloud services, and other Windows commercial offerings; patent licensing; and Windows Internet of Things. It also offers Surface, PC accessories, PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, and other devices; Gaming, including Xbox hardware, and Xbox content and services; video games and third-party video game royalties; and Search, including Bing and Microsoft advertising. The company sells its products through OEMs, distributors, and resellers; and directly through digital marketplaces, online stores, and retail stores. Microsoft Corporation was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.

Key Information

Ticker MSFT
Leadership Satya Nadella
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.microsoft.com
CIK Number 0000789019
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for MSFT

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), MSFT is moving lower. Price at 401.14 is close to support near 381.19. Moves may slow down, and resistance is near 421.09. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Over the past several sessions, prices have mostly moved lower. The broader weekly trend is also pointing down. This suggests sellers remain in control, and buying carries higher risk right now.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, MSFT is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

MSFT last closed at 401.14. The price is about 5.6 ATR below its recent average price (439.50), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength.

The downtrend is well established, but price is stretched, raising the risk of short-term bounces.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Pullback Risk

Price is far from its recent average (about 5.6 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2025-10-30, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-01-29] Trading activity was heavy, but price made little progress.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for MSFT

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.65

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 0.75%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -0.65%
20-Day Return -16.10%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

MSFT Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules