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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Corporate Logo

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Travel Services

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Profile & Business Summary

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a cruise company in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands. It offers itineraries ranging from three days to a 180-days calling on various locations, including destinations in Scandinavia, Russia, the Mediterranean, the Greek Isles, Alaska, Canada and New England, Hawaii, Asia, Tahiti and the South Pacific, Australia and New Zealand, Africa, India, South America, the Panama Canal, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 28 ships with approximately 59,150 berths. It distributes its products through retail/travel advisor and onboard cruise sales channels, as well as meetings, incentives, and charters. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is based in Miami, Florida.

Key Information

Ticker NCLH
Leadership Harry J. Sommer
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.nclhltd.com
CIK Number 0001513761
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for NCLH

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), NCLH is moving sideways. Price at 23.32 is moving between support near 23.04 and resistance near 24.01. There is no clear direction right now. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, NCLH is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

NCLH last closed at 23.32. The price is about 2.3 ATR above its recent average price (21.59), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction.

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Pullback Risk

Price is far from its recent average (about 2.3 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 20.47. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-01-16, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-02-02] Moderate participation supported a steady price advance.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for NCLH

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.57

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 8.84%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 6.31%
20-Day Return -4.31%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 59%)

Structure Analysis

NCLH Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.4 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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