Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Basic Materials • Industry: Gold
Newmont Corporation (NEM) Profile & Business Summary
Newmont Corporation engages in the production and exploration of gold. It also explores for copper, silver, zinc, and lead. The company has operations and/or assets in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, and Ghana. As of December 31, 2021, it had proven and probable gold reserves of 92.8 million ounces and land position of 62,800 square kilometers. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Key Information
| Ticker | NEM |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.newmont.com |
Market Trend Overview for NEM
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, NEM is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
NEM last closed at 127.98. The price is about 0.4 ATR above its recent average price (126.05), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 127.98 is moving between minor support near 113.28 and minor resistance near 135.29. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 107.50. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-05, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-03] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Selling pressure increased into the close, but price action remained uneven and lacked clean continuation.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 60.4% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 60.4%, with predictability at 52% and signal agreement at 55%. Reversal risk is 9%, while reward/risk stands at 0.21. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 127.98, 10.99% above the estimated average cost of 115.31. An estimated 74.9% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 24.4% is above it. The peak-density price is 132.50. The largest concentrated cost region is 115.95 to 118.55 and contains 17.6% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 127.45 to 128.45 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 125.45 to 125.95. The nearest region above the current price is 130.55 to 132.85.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for NEM
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 55%)
Structure Analysis
NEM Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 0/100, DTC percentile 78%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 36.6%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.