Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Communication Services • Industry: Entertainment
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Profile & Business Summary
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services. It offers TV series, documentaries, feature films, and mobile games across various genres and languages. The company provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, television set-top boxes, and mobile devices. It also provides DVDs-by-mail membership services in the United States. The company has approximately 222 million paid members in 190 countries. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | NFLX |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.netflix.com |
Market Trend Overview for NFLX
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)
As of 2026-08-10, NFLX is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
NFLX last closed at 76.29. The price is about 1.2 ATR above its recent average price (72.94), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 76.29 is holding above minor support near 72.28. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 78.44. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.
Trend score: 70 out of 100. Overall alignment is moderate. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Some trend alignment is present, but the structure is still forming.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-03, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal in open space between key levels. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent price movement appears increasingly driven by low-effort advances. Such hollow progression often reflects reduced participation and lower reliability of continuation.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 62.0% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 62.0%, with predictability at 55% and signal agreement at 100%. Reversal risk is 26%, while reward/risk stands at 0.26. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 76.29, 5.47% above the estimated average cost of 72.33. An estimated 99.9% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 0.0% is above it. The peak-density price is 73.30. The largest concentrated cost region is 72.55 to 73.81 and contains 41.6% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 73.89 to 74.33.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for NFLX
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 59%)
Structure Analysis
NFLX Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 24/100, DTC percentile 71%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 1.0%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias; surface strength may mask a more fragile structure. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. High-level consolidation and compression suggest a fragile upside structure. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.